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Old 09-15-2006, 07:29 AM   #1
Macalaure
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"I just took a look at the people who voted Gil yesterday and those who didn't:

1) Gil -> Mac
2) Lommy -> Gil
3) Sleepy -> Kath
4) Volo -> Sleepy
5) Kath -> Lommy
6) Mac -> Gil(2)
7) Boro -> Gil(3)
8) Naria -> Nogrod
9) Nogrod -> Gil(4)

Unfortunately, all those ghastly Gil-waggoners are now proven innocent, so I don't think we can make much of Lommy's vote for him. They all shared the reason "I don't think he's sooo suspicious, but I have no one better".
Looking at the other votes, Volo is proven innocent, Sleepy's looks bad because of the reason, Kath's and Naria's were backed by reasons.

I'm afraid this doesn't really help...

One thing that caught my eye:
The wolf chose the same victim the last two days. Did s/he choose Boromir because s/he thought he was generally dangerous to him/her, or because s/he already suspected him of being the seer. I would suspect the latter. If so, then there's one thing the wolf wouldn't want the seer to do on his last day: leave obvious hints.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sleepy Ranger, yesterday
I'd like to ask the seer to leave clues in any manner they deem safe. Just something for us to build on in case the wolf does get lucky.
If my thoughts are correct, then Sleepy would be a mad wolf, or none at all."

With a deep sigh Macalaure sat down.

"Would anybody tell me whom to vote for today? I'm at one hell of a loss..."
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Old 09-15-2006, 07:56 AM   #2
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"Lommy wait!" Nogrod cried for the elf and pulled quickly inside the bar.

Sorry brothers and sisters, I'm in a hurry, Lommy is already going... we have an adventure but will be back, later on Day6. Sorry.

But I would have to vote. I share the angst with many that have spoken toDay. There seems to be not a lot of good cases and I haven't time to go through things at this hour. But I'll vote and give a reason for it. That's a principle of mine."

Nogrod seemed to think for a second and then said.

++ Naria

I don't like this as it's already a second vote for her and given in haste. But there are things I can say about her I can't of the other three unknowns.

- I agree with Maca that I've an odd feeling about her, hardly agreeing with anything she says.

- Lommy's analysis showed her off pretty bad.

- It looks like she's intent of getting me killed with whatever way possible and at least in her first speech toDay she tried to pull our attention out of the important questions (do we actually have three innocents or not) to blaming Gil-voters and pointing at my care for the ranger (and her accusation, if it was one, I admit I didn't quite get).

All this counted, it might look like she is trying to twist our ways. Trying to prevent us from succeeding. The thought from earlier on passes my mind: what if this has to do with the possible trickery we were forewarned of? A cobbler might act just like that: being able to be bolder than a wolf but still thriving to the same end?

Not so much wits but guts and imaginative theory here... Sorry, but I can't do better at the moment.

I hope to see as many of you alive toMorrow evening!"

With that he ran out from the bar and went after Lommy.
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Old 09-15-2006, 11:43 AM   #3
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After Naria had gone over her notes she lifted her head and began to speak, hoping that her findings would make sense. "This is my take on who Boro dreamt of and some explanations." She continued, "Boro's first dream went to Menel. He was on Menel's case all day without waiver. He even states this in post 159 then Boro votes for him.

The second dream was, I believe, an ordo. Boro didn't seem to have anything concrete like he did with Menel. He went afterDi and then voted for her...a now known innocent....so he must have dreamt of an ordo to not know who to go for. I just couldn't pick out who he could have dreamt of.

The third dream wasValesse....it became pretty obvious after I went back and read this
Quote:
Boromir turned his attention to Valesse, 'My dear Valesse, be prepared, for the searcher of death will come down on thee today
He then sticks with his dream all day and warns her again here
Quote:
like I said Valesse, be prepared...I hope you are.'
Pretty strong words if he didn't dream of her...wouldn't you think? Boro continues his pursuit of Valesse much like he did with Menel and then votes for her.

The fourth dream was an ordo...Kath maybe? I say that because of this statement from Boro
Quote:
'I feel better about Kath than I did a few days ago. I ask Kath that you don't go away and that you contribute in whatever ways you can. Your input is needed, I assure you
. Again he had no clear picture of who to go after on this day, obviously, he went after an innocent Gil and then voted for him. Now post 272 is where everything got a whole lot more interesting. He clearly states that he feels safe about Mac, Nog and Volo...that never really made me feel safe about them though. Boro states that
Quote:
'I've wondered what's been the suspicion brewing around Mac has been about. I catch no evil wolf intent. He did strongly stir suspicions against Menel, he started the voting of Menel, he's been just as helpful as anyone. I really don't understand Sleepy's reasoning, or anyone else's as far as why Mac is a wolf. To me there are several more noticeable wolf probabilities.'
and then this about Volo
Quote:
'Volo, started voting with Valesse yesterday (and I believe he was really the first one that started suspecting her), I said he seemed innocent to me, now he's got a wolf lynch under his belt. Much like Mac, I catch no evil intent
He seems to be trying to tell us that he doesn't want us to waste our time on these two. I don't believe that any of these three were a Boro dream. I think there playing style was satisfying for Boro so he felt no need to go after them. Then there is this
Quote:
'If Nogrod's a wolf, he would be the greatest back-stabbing, yet brilliant wolf to have ever been cursed.
Boro says IF Nogrod's a wolf...pretty much telling us that he doesn't know what role Noggy has, so in turn did not dream of him yet. I ask you to think about this for a moment...if Boro had dreamt of Nogrod and found him to be innocent, why would he make such a comment towards him?"

Naria found herself to be getting quite hungry and asked Wilwa for a bite to eat and a drink. She then sat back down in the same chair and waited.
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Old 09-15-2006, 12:10 PM   #4
Volo
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Volo was really confused today, tomorrow, if we didn't hang the wolf, there would be only four honest friends around... He wasn't feeling like thinking, the seer had been murdered, Boromir had been a great guy... Volo was sulking and getting drunk also today.

Only in the evening did he even enter the inn, but like Kath had pointed out, Volo knew already all that was said.

"If I'll survive this night, I promise not to get drunk. Or at least on mondays... "I can't think of much now, I think I'll just agree with Lommy about Naria... But not yet..."
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Old 09-15-2006, 01:06 PM   #5
Sleepy Ranger
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"Since I must depart I shall vote. I believe that Naria has been quite suspicious and things people have said have influenced my decision. My vote will be

++Naria

due to the lack of a better candidate." The ranger bowed. He lit his pipe as he left the Inn things had been hard lately but he hoped in his heart that they would make it out of this.
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Old 09-15-2006, 01:49 PM   #6
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Wilwa gave Lommy some freshly squeezed apple juice, and made a small meal for Naria. Everyone was very upset over the loss of their seer, and the death made Wilwa very weary.

Could they still make it through this? She thought as people handed her their votes.

(2 hours and 10 minutes left. Good luck villagers!)
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Old 09-15-2006, 02:22 PM   #7
Macalaure
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"The deadline is rushing near and this village is frighteningly quiet. Please, people, speak up! We're not getting any smarter with everybody just thinking for himself.

Right now, we have one wolf, three known innocents (though Naria will disagree on this - and on who) and three 'unknown' innocents.

Unless Naria is right and we interpreted Boro's hints wrong, which I don't think, then out of Lommy, Sleepy, Kath and Naria, one is a wolf. As it seems to me, the problem is that none of the four really looks all that suspicious after all.
Kath is quite trusted by most. Sleepy is an unknown, but doesn't shout wolf. Lommy is a little shady, but contributes in a very good way. Naria is very strange, but not in a wolvish way.
Is this the reason of the quietness? Because nobody really knows whom to pick? Shall we now lynch the one who seems less un-wolvish?

I am no wiser.

As the votes are going right now, it's looking like Naria will leave us today. I admit she's probably the one which is least un-wolvish to me, too."
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Old 09-15-2006, 02:13 PM   #8
Naria
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Miss Lommy Elf
She flip-flops more than I do, has no sound reasoning and changes her suspects almost daily. (Except Nogrod.
Naria found this statement to be quite humorous, "More flip-floppy than you dear Elf? I think not...in fact could any one be more flippy than you? My lore-books say that your ancestors are so floppy with the flipping that one could swear you were a bunch of fish out of water in another life time. I had mild suspicion in regards to Gil...hardly enough to condemn him for anything and hardly enough to cast a vote for him. And yes, except Nogrod...I have a really bad feeling about him and with every passing post he makes, that feeling gets stronger. I have tried to explain it to everyone and don't know any other way to convey my suspicions of him than I already have. You say I have no sound reasoning and change my mind every day. Well all I have to say to that is...what kind of reasoning are you looking for? And what is sound to you? I have done really good in this village in the way of participating and that says alot considering my forefathers weren't too apt.

She addressedNog next, even though he wasn't around. This is the kind of thing I am talking about
Quote:
The thought from earlier on passes my mind: what if this has to do with the possible trickery we were forewarned of? A cobbler might act just like that: being able to be bolder than a wolf but still thriving to the same end
I for one had forgotten about the little "surprise" Glirdy said he may or may not do. I am assuming that one would receive a message from beyond about this cobbler role...would they not? I have not.

Funny though how he remembered and then proceeded to remind us of it. I am no cobbler nor a wolf!! If I die toDay , I beg from the remaining villagers to look at what I have said about Boro's posts and what I have said about that stinky Nogrod.

Naria hoped that she wouldn't die this day, but everyone had been so blinded by Nogrod's words that it looked like she stood no chance to see another Day. So she sat and awaited her fate.
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