Tol-in-Gaurhoth XXIII: Journey to Hy Brazil

[Glirdan]

Here's a list of the amount of posts thus far:

The Saucepan Man 19
JennyHallu 16
Anguirel 13
Glirdan 13
Lalaith 12
Findëasëa 10
Gurthang 9
Diamond18 9
Firefoot 9
Holbytlass 9
Rune Son of Bjarne 9
Durelin 9
Cailín 8
mormegil 8
Taliesin 6
Kath 6
Eomer of the Rohirrim 6
Caranlondien 6
Formendacil 6
Nilpaurion Felagund 4
Nogrod 2
the guy who be short 2
Lhunardawen 2

The ones bolded are the Eomer voters, the ones in italics are the Nilp voters. The ones who are dead are underlined.

Now split it into three groups (eliminating those who are dead and keeping the same format above [Eomer=bold, Nilp=italics]):

Low Posters: 0-6
Taliesin
Kath
Caran
Form
TGWBS
Lhuna

Middle Posters: 8-12
Lalaith
Findëasëa
Gurthang
Diamond18
Firefoot
Holbytlass
Rune Son of Bjarne
Durelin
mormegil

High Posters: 13+
The Saucepan Man
JennyHallu
Anguirel
Glirdan

(I realise how uneven this is and if you have a better way of listing it, be my guest)

Now, if we look at the Low Group first, we have three Eomer voters: Lhuna, TGWBS and Taliesin.

Middle Group, we have the other two Eomer voters (Di and Rune) and three of the Nilp voters (Durelin, Firefoot and Holby)

And in the High Group, the last Nilp voter, Ang.

So, if we follow the old age theory that there is at least one in each group, I think we can draw a list like this:

Quiet: Lhuna or Taliesin
Average: Rune, Holby or Firefoot
High: Ang

Now, it is possible that there is another wolf out of those, but it is also more likely that there is another Wolf amongst the quiet voters.

And now my thoughts are all muddled together...great...Wait, there is reasoning behind this madness...I just need to try and extract it from my brain... AHAH! I think I got it.

Okay, first, I'll bring up an updated voting list:

1. morm-->Ang(Ang 1)
2. Fin-->Lalaith(Ang 1, Lal 1)
3. Lhuna--Firefoot(Ang 1, Lal 1, Firefoot 1)
4. Lalaith-->Formendacil(Ang 1, Lal 1, Firefoot 1, Form 1)
5. Rune-->Holby(Ang 1, Lal 1, Firefoot 1, Form 1, Holby 1)
6. Saucy--> Holby(Ang 1, Lal 1, Firefoot 1, Form 1, Holby 2)
7. Kath --> Jenny(Ang 1, Lal 1, Firefoot 1, Form 1, Holby 2, Jenny 1)

(Just realised Fea did this earlier, however, this goes along with my plan).

Seeing as there are already three of the Nilp voters up there, I think one more person from the Eomer voters should be added and preferably, I'd like it to be either Taliesin or Lhuna for these reasons:

Taliesin: Has defended himself yet his sudden switch of mind really doesn't put me at ease.

Lhuna: Has barely posted and voted with absolutely no proof or reasonable evidence behind them.

Of the two, Lhuna looks more guilty. Therefore,

++Lhuna

If you need me, I should be around until the end of the Day.

[Anguirel]

I'm going for Lhuna after all, not Firefoot. Her grudge against Eomer and her leisurely attitude are simply too suitable a disguise. I'm sure she would have delighted in last night's kill and expected to be to obvious a choice to be picked to avenge it.

Glirdan's vote for her just now is unfortunate for me in a way, but I was resolved on this course before he posted.

++LHUNA