Tol-in-Gaurhoth XXII: Hic Monstrae Trucidant - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

Cailín · 06-03-2006, 02:39 PM

Fea...

Do you know why it is beneficial for the village to organise a double lynching, even though both lynchees might be or are even very likely innocent?

the guy who be short · 06-03-2006, 02:42 PM

No double lynchings.

Nothing more to add.

Cailín · 06-03-2006, 02:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the guy who be short

No double lynchings.

Nothing more to add.

Oh geesh, I know. Trying to make a point here.

edit: crossed with Fea. All right, apparently there is some master plan which I don't understand.

I will be sorry to see you go, Fea, this was never meant as a personal attack but if you call me really freaking stupid, then right back at ya.

Mithalwen · 06-03-2006, 02:42 PM

But we can't have a double lynching... huh oh reduce the probability.. but fact remains that the wolves will kill an innocent each night unless the ranger is effective so it is better to avoid killing innocents each day

Celuien · 06-03-2006, 02:44 PM

Probabilities. Making the ratio of wolves higher so they're easier to spot. But we can't double lynch, so no use in worrying about doing the calculations...

Feanor of the Peredhil · 06-03-2006, 02:51 PM

Okay, my final point:

Somebody - please, Eru, somebody - is going to figure me out, preferably before it's too late. They will use what I've given them and they will use it in a helpful way.

Think about what I've done. Why would I offer myself as a sacrifice? Why wouldn't I concentrate on self-preservation instead to ensure a village victory?

What, I ask you, would make me do something as utterly 'unhelpful' as try to get myself, an innocent, lynched? And who is trying to stop me?

Celuien · 06-03-2006, 02:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Feanor of the Peredhil

Okay, my final point:

Somebody - please, Eru, somebody - is going to figure me out, preferably before it's too late. They will use what I've given them and they will use it in a helpful way.

Think about what I've done. Why would I offer myself as a sacrifice? Why wouldn't I concentrate on self-preservation instead to ensure a village victory?

What, I ask you, would make me do something as utterly 'unhelpful' as try to get myself, an innocent, lynched? And who is trying to stop me?

I can think of a reason. Hmm. I wonder.

Mithalwen · 06-03-2006, 02:46 PM

Celuien ..though in my uncertain list is just such a voice of sanity that I am inclined to go with her. I will stay with Durelin. And will all those bickering stop and try and look at things clear eyed? Please - too often innocents get each other killed like that....

Feanor of the Peredhil · 06-03-2006, 02:43 PM

Please don't assume I haven't thought this out. A lot. I've been fighting werewolves for time out of mind. I don't make stupid decisions. I just sometimes over-estimate my colleagues.

mormegil · 06-03-2006, 02:48 PM

What are the voting totals? Anybody have an updated list?

Mithalwen · 06-03-2006, 02:50 PM

I think you and Durelin are equal on 3

mormegil · 06-03-2006, 02:52 PM

Durelin 3
Morm 3
Fin 1
TGWBS 2
Fea 1

Fea sadly I can't make this work myself.

Mithalwen · 06-03-2006, 02:53 PM

OK Fea here goes

-- Durelin

++ FOTP

Mithalwen · 06-03-2006, 02:53 PM

But I will change back to save Morm sorry

Celuien · 06-03-2006, 02:52 PM

Yes, Durelin and you are tied. Here's the complete list:

Fea => lmp (lmp 1)
Lhuna => Durelin (lmp 1, Durelin 1)
tgwbs => morm (lmp 1, Durelin 1, morm 1)
lmp => Fin (lmp 1, Durelin 1, morm 1, Fin 1)
morm => tgwbs (lmp 1, Durelin 1, morm 1, Fin 1, tgwbs 1)
Caran => Morm (lmp 1, Durelin 1, morm 2, Fin 1, tgwbs 1)
tom => Morm (lmp 1, Durelin 1, morm 3, Fin 1, tgwbs 1)
Mith => Durelin (lmp 1, Durelin 2, morm 3, Fin 1, tgwbs 1)
Fea => (--lmp) Fea (Fea 1, Durelin 2, morm 3, Fin 1, tgwbs 1)
Findëasëa => TGWBS (Fea 1, Durelin 2, morm 3, Fin 1, tgwbs 2)
Celuien => Durelin (Fea 1, Durelin 3, morm 3, Fin 1, tgwbs 1)

Feanor of the Peredhil · 06-03-2006, 02:54 PM

Morm... pleeeeease? I have so much faith in you... Mithalwen... TGWBS... LMP...

One of you? You all know me. I know you can do it. Just... *silently pleads*

Mithalwen · 06-03-2006, 02:55 PM

Up to Morm ...

Feanor of the Peredhil · 06-03-2006, 02:56 PM

I give up. I tried. No worries. Pretend I wasn't here.

the guy who be short · 06-03-2006, 02:56 PM

--MORM

++FEA

06-03-2006, 02:42 PM	#4
Mithalwen Pilgrim Soul Join Date: May 2004 Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle... Posts: 9,460	But we can't have a double lynching... huh oh reduce the probability.. but fact remains that the wolves will kill an innocent each night unless the ranger is effective so it is better to avoid killing innocents each day __________________ “But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.” Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace

06-03-2006, 02:44 PM	#5
Celuien Riveting Ribbiter Join Date: May 2005 Location: Assigned to Mordor Posts: 1,767	Probabilities. Making the ratio of wolves higher so they're easier to spot. But we can't double lynch, so no use in worrying about doing the calculations... __________________ People assume that time is a strict progression of cause to effect. But actually, from a non-linear, non-subjective viewpoint, it's more like a big ball of wibbly-wobbly, timey-wimey... stuff. Last edited by Celuien; 06-03-2006 at 02:45 PM. Reason: Lots of crossposting. Sorry!

06-03-2006, 02:51 PM	#6
Feanor of the Peredhil La Belle Dame sans Merci Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: perpetual uncertainty Posts: 5,517	Okay, my final point: Somebody - please, Eru, somebody - is going to figure me out, preferably before it's too late. They will use what I've given them and they will use it in a helpful way. Think about what I've done. Why would I offer myself as a sacrifice? Why wouldn't I concentrate on self-preservation instead to ensure a village victory? What, I ask you, would make me do something as utterly 'unhelpful' as try to get myself, an innocent, lynched? And who is trying to stop me? __________________ peace

06-03-2006, 02:46 PM	#8
Mithalwen Pilgrim Soul Join Date: May 2004 Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle... Posts: 9,460	Celuien ..though in my uncertain list is just such a voice of sanity that I am inclined to go with her. I will stay with Durelin. And will all those bickering stop and try and look at things clear eyed? Please - too often innocents get each other killed like that.... __________________ “But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.” Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace

06-03-2006, 02:43 PM	#9
Feanor of the Peredhil La Belle Dame sans Merci Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: perpetual uncertainty Posts: 5,517	Please don't assume I haven't thought this out. A lot. I've been fighting werewolves for time out of mind. I don't make stupid decisions. I just sometimes over-estimate my colleagues. __________________ peace

06-03-2006, 02:39 PM	#1
Cailín Ghost Prince of Cardolan Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Lurking in the shadows. Posts: 711	Fea... Do you know why it is beneficial for the village to organise a double lynching, even though both lynchees might be or are even very likely innocent?

06-03-2006, 02:42 PM	#2
the guy who be short Shadowed Prince Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: Thulcandra Posts: 2,343	No double lynchings. Nothing more to add.

06-03-2006, 02:48 PM	#10
mormegil Maundering Mage Join Date: Apr 2005 Location: Texas Posts: 4,651	What are the voting totals? Anybody have an updated list? __________________ “I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.”

06-03-2006, 02:50 PM	#11
Mithalwen Pilgrim Soul Join Date: May 2004 Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle... Posts: 9,460	I think you and Durelin are equal on 3 __________________ “But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.” Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace

06-03-2006, 02:52 PM	#12
mormegil Maundering Mage Join Date: Apr 2005 Location: Texas Posts: 4,651	Durelin 3 Morm 3 Fin 1 TGWBS 2 Fea 1 Fea sadly I can't make this work myself. __________________ “I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.”

06-03-2006, 02:53 PM	#13
Mithalwen Pilgrim Soul Join Date: May 2004 Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle... Posts: 9,460	OK Fea here goes -- Durelin ++ FOTP __________________ “But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.” Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace

06-03-2006, 02:54 PM	#16
Feanor of the Peredhil La Belle Dame sans Merci Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: perpetual uncertainty Posts: 5,517	Morm... pleeeeease? I have so much faith in you... Mithalwen... TGWBS... LMP... One of you? You all know me. I know you can do it. Just... silently pleads __________________ peace

06-03-2006, 02:55 PM	#17
Mithalwen Pilgrim Soul Join Date: May 2004 Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle... Posts: 9,460	Up to Morm ... __________________ “But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.” Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace

06-03-2006, 02:56 PM	#18
Feanor of the Peredhil La Belle Dame sans Merci Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: perpetual uncertainty Posts: 5,517	I give up. I tried. No worries. Pretend I wasn't here. __________________ peace

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