Tol-in-Gaurhoth XXI: Dueling Wizards Werewolf

[Roa_Aoife]

Lalaith analysis, cont.

Day 4
1st post - points out flaw in Fea's theory, says that if a false GW comes forward, then the real GW can come forward, says we should bully him/her into coming out

2nd - Apologizes to Loki

3rd - hunter should stay hidden, agrees with Nilp, says she knew something was up with Gurthang, wants to know why the wolves attacked him, inclined to vote Valier

4th - wonders if Firefoot could come up with the List of Doom

5th - Notes that Gurthang can't PM Firefoot the name of the hunter since he can only pm with gifteds

6th - notes that by going by the list of the most suspected we could miss the turned wolf from the previous night, points out that drawing up a list for the next days lynching makes it easier for the EW to pick a new wolf

7th - collates information about voting patterns and wolf creations

http://forum.barrowdowns.com/showpos...&postcount=653

Okay, now I get it.

8th - general impression of village

http://forum.barrowdowns.com/showpos...&postcount=656

9th - says that she was worried that Gurthang would be challenged before he could make a list

10th - points out that the wolves could kill Nilp

11th - Notes that Kitanna had assumed the wolves knew each other, doesn't believe this to be true

12th - Questions Morm

13th - Lists rules regarding werewolf identities

14th - Votes Valier, impressed by Spawn's Roa=EW theory, has some other theories of her own

Have we heard those yet? I'd like to, if you have time. As for Day 5- you all can read that yourself.


After all this, there are some things that tweak me about Lal, but not enough for me to consider her guilty. My only concern is that she may be the wolf from last night, since she's intelligent and vocal but hasn't drawn much suspicion as of yet.

[Roa_Aoife]

Roa: so what you're saying is that you can be as condescending and judgmental as you like, but heaven forbid that I should take offense at being portrayed as a twaddle head?

I wasn't being condescending or judgemental. Nor did I portray you as a twaddle head. I've said this many times before- I will never, ever, insinuate that one of my fellow players is stupid, moronic, or twaddle-headed, because I simply don't believe it to be the case. Show me where I depicted you as a twaddle head, and I'll explain how that is not the case.

Okay.... I don't mind being suspected, after all I suspect other people, but your tone is always one of "This is how I play and it is the perfect way, anyone who doesn't play this way is either evil or stupid." Just thought I'd point that out to you.

I didn't realize this was my tone at all. I play according to what I think is best, but I've never claimed it was perfect. Nor have I ever stated that anyone who didn't play my way was stupid or evil. Infact, yesterday I was speaking aginst someone saying just that. I found the flaws in your posts and I brought them to light, and that was all I did.

but now as I continue to post I do feel it rather behooves me to let you know that you're just being redundant, yourself, before you go ahead and critique my "nonsense" the usual way.

First, you obviously weren't letting it slide, as you made the snide comment first.

Secondly, I don't see where I have been redundant. And as I said earlier, "nonsense" refers to in character posting, which I usually do not engage in, and have not for this entire game.

You over-reacted to my analysis, made a snide comment about me, and then accused be of being rude and close minded when the rudeness started with you.

[Feanor of the Peredhil]

Tea? Biscuits? Change of subject? Let's be nice, shall we?

We have evil people to lynch. We don't need an argument cluttering thoughts.

[Roa_Aoife]

You're right Fea, we shouldn't get into this- at least not here. Diamond, if you wish to continue, PM me, so we can work this out. (I have a feeling you work stuff out in a similar fashion to me, ie, yelling.)

[Alcarillo]

Just popping in quick to vote.

++Fea

To keep her ahead by a few votes.

Yes, I've been laying low for a while. But that's not because I'm evil! Just trying to survive here with votes flying at me.

[Gurthang]

Oh, just thought I'd mention: I've been keeping track of how long our ordeal is going to be in the lorebooks, and it looks like we've got the longest ever! Well, actually we broke the record with post #749 two pages ago.

Originally Posted by Alcarillo

Just popping in quick to vote.

++Fea

To keep her ahead by a few votes.

Yes, I've been laying low for a while. But that's not because I'm evil! Just trying to survive here with votes flying at me.

Yeah, just got done going through his posts, and was actually thinking I wouldn't vote for him. Now this changes things a bit. Alcarillo, obviously, you care a lot more about your own health than about the village as a whole, which is suspicious to me. If I don't find anything significant in Kitanna's posts, then Alcarillo will receive my vote.

[Azaelia of Willowbottom]

Apologies for vanishing and leaving my vote until the end. I was going to show up about an hour ago, but then a thunderstorm blew in, and I had to wait.

So without further ado, I'm going to vote

++Alcarillo

Because I said I would. His behavior has been bothering me for a while. He's acting oddly, and I still think he's trying to disappear after making mistakes, which isn't exactly the way I'd go about it...It's hard to believe he'd be that un-sneaky as a wolf, given the fact that his wolfish ancestors are somewhat masters of the trade... But he's just been a little off ever since we woke up to find Elempi dead.

Edit: Cross-posted with Lalaith

[Kath]

Hey look, I returned! And I have to say guys though I don't condone this arguing, I love the term twaddle head

[Roa_Aoife]

Must get underway soon.

Alcarillo- I still think the cases against him are weak.

Zali- I think she's an innocent who is as clueless as the rest of us and far more unlucky.

That leaves Kitanna and Fea. Fea is (slightly) more suspicious than Kitanna, mostly because she's such an unknown element. So

++Fea

Maybe tomorrow the list will have some people I can get stronger ideas of.

[Lalaith]

Right. Back to the pressing issue of voting.
After the fairly straightforward decision about Valier yesterday, I found this shortlist quite a tough one.

Kitanna could be a recent wolf. But I'm not sure enough about her one way or another to vote for her.
Azaelia was feeling innocent to me before, and she was too suspected to be a recent wolf. The only thing that bothers me about her is this Q&A she had with Kath which ended up making Zali look less guilty at the end of it and therefore made me wonder about the purpose of the whole exercise as a possible set-up.
Fea - I've gone back and forth about this and I've now decided to give her the benefit of the doubt, partly because I kind of concur with her EW theories, and partly because I think she's more likely an EW than a wolf I'm taking Gurthang's points on board about him finding the EW.
That leaves Alcarillo. He's as good as suspect as any to be the original surviving wolf.
++ALCARILLO

Roa, you asked about my own EW theories.
I think that the likeliest remaining candidates for EW are Fea, Diamond, Roa, Spawn, Eomer and Morm. Jenny and ( very maybe) Caran and Lommy are possibles.
Of the likely crowd, I am inclined to put Spawn and Eomer at the bottom of the list because of wolf choices. Morm has been feeling pretty innocent but he's definitely smart enough to pull a bluff.