Tol-in-Gaurhoth XV-The Villagers Strike Back!

[Anguirel]

The celebrations over the death of Rune had continued into the first rays of morning, and as twilight hardened into night proper, many wolves slunk out of the tower for the Wolfmoot looking distinctly hungover. Eomer and Mithalwen had co-operated in a lightning raid on the Orc liquor stores; many kegs had been smashed open and their heady produce imbibed. Oddwen groaned, rubbing her head with a lethal claw, as she joined the circle of wolves.

"Melkor be praised," Boromir88 rasped out, tottering unsteadily into the centre, his eyes bleary.

"We're...hic...all...here!"

And it was so.

Hidden among their inferiors in the gathering, two wolves crowed quietly; Sauron silently congratulated the vigilance of Draugluin; Draugluin's whiskers twitched in anticipation of rapid promotion...and sneered at the heroes, who, whoever they were, did not seem to be having much luck.


Dead

Anguirel (Werewolf)-throat cut as he slept on Day 1
Glirdan (Werewolf)-devoured on Night 1
The Saucepan Man (Huan)-murdered by mischance on Day 2
Rune Son Of Bjarne (Dwarven Hero)-drowned in the Sirion through Kitanna's treachery on Night 2
Kitanna (Werewolf)-beheaded in Rune's last act of vengeance on Night 2


Living

Mormegil-Crabby Old Wolf
Gurthang-Gil-Gurth
Formendacil-Lobo
Farael-Werewolf In Denial
Lhuna-Girl-Who-Cried-Wolf
Eomer-Black Warg of Rhun
Boromir-Exorcist Specialising in Heroes
Spawn-Wolf O' Nine Tails
Oddwen-Bloodthirsty Whelp
Kath-Runt of the Litter
Mithalwen-Alpha Female
Meneltarmacil-Lone Wolf
Wayne-Fairy Hunter
Nonnacedak-Scavenger


Night 3 has now begun. The Heroes are on the back paw; can the wolves continue their success?

Deadline for votes should be 2pm GMT tomorrow this time.

[Kath]

Right my reasoning for voting Rune as promised. It was actually based entirely on this one post (146) where he tries to formulate an argument against Formendacil. There is too much in it to copy and show here but he seemed to be being deliberately obtuse and was making up rubbish to get the focus off himself. It looked a very shoddy argument designed specifically to pass blame.

But thankfully he was a Hero! And we have had a stroke of luck in no one dying yesterDay as well!

Now from a purely instinctual point of view those I'm not too keen on at the moment are Oddwen, morm and Lhuna. I just want to watch a while today and see if my suspicions are founded in any way.

[Eomer of the Rohirrim]

Praise the Guardian! May our luck continue. Any ideas who he/she protected yesterday? I have my ideas as to who the Seer is and also the identity of another gifted (if my reading is wise). Those two I am going to place my trust in.

I will also place my trust in Oddwen and Kath, for reasons which should be crystal clear. So I think we are in very good stead!

Sincerest apologies to Kitanna, though. It was an ill-fated choice on my part to pick on you. I'll be back later tonight. Any ideas how we can use the numbers advantage?

[mormegil]

Menel voted Rune (Rune 1)
Formen voted Mith (Rune 1, Mith 1)
Farael voted Spawn (Rune 1, Mith 1, Spawn 1)
Nonna voted Spawn (Rune 1, Mith 1, Spawn 2)
Lhuna voted Oddwen (Rune 1, Mith 1, Spawn 2, Oddwen 1)
Gurthang voted Farael (Rune 1, Mith 1, Spawn 2, Oddwen 1, Farael 1)
Rune voted Formen (Rune 1, Mith 1, Spawn 2, Oddwen 1, Farael 1, Formen 1)
Boromir voted Nonna (Rune 1, Mith 1, Spawn 2, Oddwen 1, Farael 1, Formen 1, Nonna 1)
Wayne voted Farael (Rune 1, Mith 1, Spawn 2, Oddwen 1, Farael 2, Formen 1, Nonna 1)
Eomer voted Kitanna (Rune 1, Kitanna 1, Mith 1, Spawn 2, Oddwen 1, Farael 2, Formen 1, Nonna 1)
Mith voted Menel (Rune 1, Kitanna 1, Mith 1, Spawn 2, Oddwen 1, Farael 2, Formen 1, Nonna 1, Menel 1)
Mormegil voted Kitanna (Rune 1, Kitanna 2, Mith 1, Spawn 2, Oddwen 1, Farael 2, Formen 1, Nonna 1, Menel 1)
Kath voted Rune (Rune 2, Kitanna 2, Mith 1, Spawn 2, Oddwen 1, Farael 2, Formen 1, Nonna 1, Menel 1)
Spawn voted Kitanna (Rune 2, Kitanna 3, Mith 1, Spawn 2, Oddwen 1, Farael 2, Formen 1, Nonna 1, Menel 1)
Oddwen voted Rune (Rune 3, Kitanna 3, Mith 1, Spawn 2, Oddwen 1, Farael 2, Formen 1, Nonna 1, Menel 1)
Kitanna voted Mormegil (Rune 3, Kitanna 3, Mith 1, Spawn 2, Oddwen 1, Farael 2, Formen 1, Nonna 1, Menel 1, Mormegil 1)

This puts Spawn in a bad light though I'm not sure why Kitanna didn't vote Rune to save herself?!?!

[Mithalwen]

I just want to apologise to Menel. With the benefit of 20/20 hindsight I realise I was totally wrong last night . I allowed my judgement to be clouded by wolves I have known longer and my desire not to make a spite vote re Formendacil. I need to review everything. So ... more later.

[Oddwen]

Bully for Drauglin! Good job, bucko.

I believe that I may have been the chosen target for the heroes and our Devilish Drauglin. My vote for Rune may have seemed a bit Sauron-ish to them. But I'm not, so rest assured.

Originally Posted by Spawn

I don't understand why Kitanna didn't save herself last Night when she had a chance. Didn't she notice that there was a tie between her and Rune?

*scratches behind ear* This confuses me also. I guess we'll never know.

Let's review Rune, shall we?

Night one:

Glirdan mentions Rune in his first post. However, we know Glirdan was innocent, so that doesn't tell us much. Rune pops up and says how he "hates us all", and says Glirdan seems "wolfish". Glirdan vents at Rune. Gurthang is sure that either Rune or Glirdan are the Huan (but we allll know how wrong he was ). Gurthang then votes for Rune, because he didn't want to join the Glirdan bandwagon, and one of Rune's statements confuses him. Rune then expresses suspicions of Wayne, Nonna, and Farael. He votes Wayne because of his "unpredictableness". Glirdan is lynched.

Night two:

Morm points out that Gurthang didn't give a very good explanation for his day one vote of Rune, calls it "safe". Menel minorly suspects Rune, calling his vote for Wayne "safe", because he could have gotten away with it without being part of a bandwagon. He calls Rune and B88 his primary suspects. Then he says Rune will probably be getting his vote. Nonna calls Gurthang's day one vote for Rune "random" and "odd". Menel says Rune could be "hero #3". Rune then explains his vote for Wayne, agreeing that it was a safe vote because even if Wayne wasn't a wolf, he was unpredictable, also says he didn't vote for Nonna or Farael because "they're new". Rune then agrees with Farael's theory. Menel then suspects Rune, Farael, and Oddwen as the heroes. He finds it hard to decide between voting for Rune or Farael, an keeps out of the majority by voting for Rune. Rune then says he trusts Lhuna because he agrees with what she says. He says he's all but removed Nonna from his suspect list save for his seeming "vengeance" vote for Menel. He finds Farael still "sneaky" and finds something odd about Formendacil. In his next post, he calls Formendacil's posts "without bite" and "going in all directions", not like the "wolf he used to know". He breaks down several of Formen's posts, and then votes for him. B88 says Menel's argument against Rune makes sense. He then tells Rune and Farael the problems with their theory. Rune then says that he saw the problem. He asks Wayne why he's number three on his list. Kath votes for Rune, promising an explanation the next Night. Rune seems suspicious to Oddwen because he's ready to trust Lhuna. Rune attempts to appease Oddwen, saying that he doesn't trust Lhuna, he merely agrees with her. Oddwen votes for Rune because she would like to see him go rather than Kitanna. Rune and Kitanna are lynched, and the rest is history.

Reading this history, I am inclined to see as suspicious:

Gurthang he could have voted for a hero the first day to try to distance himself from the other heroes, not knowing that Rune would be the first to go
Nonna and/or Farael, because I see Rune mentioning them but "giving them a chance because they're new" a little odd. I also find that Rune saying how he doesn't suspect Nonna and that he still found Farael sneaky a bit odd as well.

Disseminate this at will.

[Mithalwen]

Clearly those who voted for Rune were likely choices for both the enemy and Draugluin. I am now fairly confident of 4 or 5 innocents (which is 3 or 4 up on yesterday!) . As to the identity of the two remaining "heroes" ... I need to do a lot more looking and listening.....

[dancing spawn of ungoliant]

Originally Posted by Kath

Now from a purely instinctual point of view those I'm not too keen on at the moment are Oddwen, morm and Lhuna. I just want to watch a while today and see if my suspicions are founded in any way.

I don't quite understand Kath's suspicion of Oddwen. If the votes tell anything, it would really seem that both wolf ladies are true lycans and nothing more.

Originally Posted by morm

This puts Spawn in a bad light though I'm not sure why Kitanna didn't vote Rune to save herself?!?!

Funny you should say that when you yourself tied Kitanna with me and Farael.

I believe that you realize that I wouldn't have voted myself at that stage because I'm sure of my innocence, but I can't be 100% sure about anyone else's. I had become suspicious of Farael only that Night whereas I had been unsure of Kitanna already the night before. I hadn't a clue that Kath had cast her vote for Rune thus giving yet another person a second vote. I was confused about the voting deadline, that was my mistake. When I saw Kath's vote I hadn't time to start analysing Rune's behaviour since I was just concerned to break the tie between Kitanna, Farael and me before the Night would end. I understand now that I should have voted myself like Kitanna did, so you wouldn't suspect me anymore... I try to remember that in the future.

About morm's plan - if we want to use it, we need to consider carefully, when to do it. If the Seer and Draugluin step forward, we'll lose them both in the next Days unless we can't catch the Heroes first. However, if Draugluin and the Heroes both picked the Seer yesterDay, s/he'll be gone after next Day and we might not be able to decipher, whom s/he had dreamed of. We would still have our Draugluin left, though.

I'm so tired now that the lines don't stay straight. I'll take a nap and come back when I'm able to think again.

[dancing spawn of ungoliant]

Whoa, good job, Draugluin!

YesterNight's votes:

Menel -> Rune
Formendacil -> Mith
Farael -> spawn
Nonnacedak -> spawn
Lhuna -> Oddwen
Gurthang -> Farael
Rune -> Formendacil
Boromir -> Nonnac
Wayne -> Farael
Eomer -> Kitanna
Mith -> Menel
morm -> Kitanna
Kath -> Rune
spawn -> Kitanna
Oddwen -> Rune
Kitanna -> morm

I don't understand why Kitanna didn't save herself last Night when she had a chance. Didn't she notice that there was a tie between her and Rune?

Here's a little summary of who accused whom from last Night:

Boromir suspected mormegil, Wayne, Menel, Kitanna, spawn & Nonnac, was quite neutral about Mith and later of spawn
mormegil suspected Kitanna, Gurthang, Boromir, Formendacil & spawn, was quite neutral about Wayne, Farael, Mith and Nonnac
Kath suspected morm & Rune
Menel suspected Boromir, morm, Wayne, Oddwen, Farael, spawn, Rune & Kitanna
Farael suspected spawn, Gurthang, was quite neutral about Nonnac
Mithalwen suspected morm, Eomer, Wayne, Gurthang, Formendacil, Boromir & Oddwen, later seemed quite neutral about Kath, Eomer, Boromir & spawn
Eomer suspected Kitanna, Kath & spawn, was quite neutral about Mith
Formendacil suspected Gurthang, morm & Mith, was quite neutral of Boromir, Eomer & Lhuna
Wayne suspected morm, Kath, Farael, Rune, Nonnac & Menel (that was the top 5 of his list + Kath whom he mentioned earlier)
Nonnacedak suspected spawn, Boromir & Gurthang
Gurthang suspected Farael, Kitanna, morm, spawn & Nonnac
Farael suspected spawn & Gurthang
Rune suspected Farael & Formendacil, was quite neutral of Lhuna & Nonnac
Kitanna suspected morm & spawn
Lhuna suspected Wayne & Oddwen, was quite neutral of Farael, Menel, Formendacil, morm & Mith
spawn suspected Formendacil, Kitanna & Farael

Please, tell me if I have interpreted something you have said wrong or if there are any mistakes on that list (there was so many posts that I might have not noticed everything). The persons after the word "suspected" were found 1) very suspicious 2) suspicious 3) mildly suspicious 4) suspicion of them was expressed as a joke, or 5) just some thing they had done was considered strange. I didn't want to separate those things, because real accusations can be disguised as a joke, for example. Besides, after that, the whole list would have looked so messy that no-one would have understand a word from it.

I have to leave now to a concert, I'll tell you my own theories when I get back.

[Gurthang]

Originally Posted by dancing spawn of ungoliant

I don't understand why Kitanna didn't save herself last Night when she had a chance. Didn't she notice that there was a tie between her and Rune?

Originally Posted by mormegil

...though I'm not sure why Kitanna didn't vote Rune to save herself?!?!

Originally Posted by Oddwen

*scratches behind ear* This confuses me also. I guess we'll never know.

I believe that Kitanna realized that, even if she did not die last Night, she would still be in the running toNight. Trying to save herself would just make her look more guilty in most of her accusors eyes. So, knowing herself to be innocent, she decided to let herself be taken out of the picture so we could look elsewhere for the heros. If we spent all of toNight looking at her, then we really would get no closer to finding those we seek.

Eomer, I take it from you post that you do not believe Oddwen or Kath to gifted. I won't claim to have spotted our more powerful allies. I've got my hunches, but I've learned that I'm not very good at spotting clues.

Farael still is my #1 pick, but I really don't have a lot against her. Mainly, the fact that she disregards everyone who voted for Glirdan and also her jumpiness at my questioning yesterday. I'm going to try to look at Nonna a little, and maybe morm.

Also, I still think it would make sense to look at the voters for Nonna on that first day. There are only two left, of whom I think I find Boromir a little more suspicious than Spawn, but I will look at both.

[mormegil]

I have a great plan that might save a bunch of you prats. Now listen to me and listen good! We have 14 total left, 2 of them heroes, 3 gifted and 9 innocents. Now, Draugluin knows who one innocent is being as he/she protected them last night. There is a chance that who was protected was Sauron but it's unknown. Now Sauron has been able to learn the identity of 3 others, hopefully one hero but more than likely only innocents. That means they could know up to 3 innocents but likely at least one is dead, so I will go with 2. And we have Carcharoth hidden among us. That would make 5 to 7 known innocents. More than likely it's 6 but out of 14 that's not too bad. There is a chance that overlap could exist, ie Sauron dreamt of Carcharoth or Draugluin protected somebody that Sauron dreamt of.

What I propose is for all to step forward and let us know what they know. This would narrow the field by almost half. Then they could orchestrate a double devouring (think of all the meat) of the two highest suspects on that list. It's likely that Draugluin would be the first to die then Sauron but Sauron would be able to get one more dream in and we would have another double devouring.

The plan might be best implemented today however it may be best to do tomorrow. Of course I will let those who know best decide. This of course could be seen as a ploy to get the gifteds to reveal themselves but think about it, at this point I don't think a hero would want this, to be more visible in a group of 7 to 8 as opposed to a group of 14.

I still hold that Gurthang is guilty and he is not sitting right with me. I think I will vote for him today if the plan is not implented.

[Formendacil]

Originally Posted by mormegil

What I propose is for all to step forward and let us know what they know. This would narrow the field by almost half. Then they could orchestrate a double devouring (think of all the meat) of the two highest suspects on that list. It's likely that Draugluin would be the first to die then Sauron but Sauron would be able to get one more dream in and we would have another double devouring.

You ALWAYS seem to want the Gifted ones to step forward and tell all.

Although I can see a benefit to the village of doing so, I also think that you would be robbing the village of the chance to benefit from their experience for a day longer. Furthermore, this plays right into the hands of the Heroes, who have thus far been totally clueless.

Who died and made you the King of Tol Sirion, anyway?

I think you innocent, Master Mormegil, but your insistence on trying to direct the ways of the village are irksome, and could easily point to Elvish trickery.

Now, in regards to my vote of our last Night together, I admit that it was a rather foolish vote on my part, and had I been more awake, I would surely have seen that. But I ask you to look at what timezone I live in, and see that it was rather late at night, and I wouldn't be up in time for a vote that could be better-placed. What's more, it was late, and I was too tired to clearly think through the village, so I did my civic duty.

If you don't like that explanation, then tough cookies. Go and help the Elves out.

[Nonnacedak]

Originally Posted by Oddwen

Nonna calls Gurthang's day one vote for Rune "random" and "odd".

The only reason I said that was because he first voiced suspicion on me and then quickly changed his mind to Rune. It may not have been as random as I thought however because I actually never really read why he voted for Rune.

Originally Posted by Gurthang

Also, I still think it would make sense to look at the voters for Nonna on that first day. There are only two left, of whom I think I find Boromir a little more suspicious than Spawn, but I will look at both.

Like Gurthang I still think one Hero was in the group that voted for me. Neither B88 or Spawn have voted for Rune on both nights so Im for sure going to vote one of them. I need to see more of their posts to make a final decision however.

[Gurthang]

Gurthang is sure that either Rune or Glirdan are the Huan (but we allll know how wrong he was ).

First off, I said I was 73% sure. Misquoting, naughty naughty....

Thank you, Oddwen, for that analysis, despite it implicating me.

I've always assumed that hero's will not usually openly defend each other in their posts. Which means that they will either suspect each other or ignore each other completely. So, grouping by who Rune found suspicious, trustworthy, and did not say anything.

Rune's Suspects:
Glirdan
Wayne
Nonnacedak
Farael
Formendacil

Rune's Trustees:
Lhuna (agrees with what she says)
Nonna (all but removed from suspect list)

Which leaves:
Rune's Ignorees:
mormegil
Gurthang
Eomer
Boromir
Spawn
Oddwen
Kath
Mithalwen
Meneltarmacil

Okay, that really doesn' narrow it down much. I do notice that Rune jumped back and forth on Nonnacedak. Could be suspecting then not suspecting a fellow hero.

Well, later I'll see if I can make a list of people who mentioned Rune and see what I come up with. Maybe cross-referencing the two will help.

[Boromir88]

I'm in favor of mormegil's plan. Or atleast to a limited degree, perhaps the Ranger step out and say who he/she protected, but it may be too early and unwise to have Sauron himself step out for right now we have the upperhand but we don't want things to slip out of our paws.

As far as analyzing everyone, you'll hear more from me later. But, Praise Melkor indeed! We have been in good favor we should make a sacrifice to him tonight for his grace.

[Mithalwen]

I am yet to do my review but re. Morm's plan, I think that both the enemy and Draugluin would have picked the person they though most likely to be Sauron. While neither them can be certain without a confession it seems likely that the enemy will attack the same person again today knowing that Draugluin cannot protect them. I say we think carefully before we condemn two gifteds to death on successive days - Draugluin presumably may not protect themself.

[Boromir88]

Good point Mith, so I guess if the plan is to work then Sauron would have to step out and name who he/she has dreamed of. There is a possibility though that though the heroes probably went after who they thought was Sauron, and Draugluin protected the same person, that that person may not be Sauron. However, at this stage in the game I'd say it would be too risky to try and bet on.

[mormegil]

Who died and made you the King of Tol Sirion, anyway?

I think you innocent, Master Mormegil, but your insistence on trying to direct the ways of the village are irksome, and could easily point to Elvish trickery.

Nobody you twit but perhaps this Island would be better served if nobody tried to set forth plans or establish some leadership. I do not want leadership, however I am not afraid to voice my thoughts and ideas and I am ready to accept that not all would want to agree. Perhaps you would rather all of us be silent?

Although I can see a benefit to the village of doing so, I also think that you would be robbing the village of the chance to benefit from their experience for a day longer. Furthermore, this plays right into the hands of the Heroes, who have thus far been totally clueless.

I answer that with a quote from me.

The plan might be best implemented today however it may be best to do tomorrow.

How does this play into the Hero's hands? If they are likely to be dead in two nights?

You ALWAYS seem to want the Gifted ones to step forward and tell all.

No I always want to win and I will do what it takes to win.

[Boromir88]

I think Gurthang explains pretty well as far as why Kitanna didn't vote for Rune. I think another reason could have been that if she voted for Rune it would of course look like she's saving herself (which we would expect from any one whether innocent or not). So, if Rune turned out to be innocent Kitanna would expect to be dead next day. So, either way Kitanna felt like she would be dead soon whether it be today or the next, truly I noble sacrifice for a wolf. I would have prepared the body for proper burial if it wasn't the case that we needed something to eat. Oh well, still doesn't make her sacrifice less noble.

Ok, so this is purely off voting and hopefully later I can decipher some more. Voting was spread out yesterday, which could give us some helpful clues.

For Rune:
Meneltarmacil
Kath
Oddwen

For Kitanna:
Eomer
Mormegil
Spawn

For Spawn:
Farael
Nonnacedak

For Farael:
Gurthang
Wayne

For others:
Lhuna-Oddwen
Formendacil-Mith
Boromir-Nonnacedak
Mithalwen-Meneltarmacil
Kitanna-Mormegil
Rune-Formendacil

Now based off voting yesterday I'm not ready to exempt anyone who voted for Menel as a sure innocent. Though it does show favor to Kath and Oddwen as being innocent. Since voting was close they delivered crucial votes to end Rune's pathetic little life. Menel's vote doesn't clear him, he was the first vote, and it's possible that he didn't believe Rune would be lynched that day, but if Rune is happened to be lynched he'd have a good record to point to and say "See I voted for a hero." But, as of right now I have no reason to think Menel, or anyone who voted for Rune as another hero partner. Though I did find his argument against Rune well done yesterday (as I pointed out yesteray, and it turned out to be he was true) so right now anyone who voted for Rune looks pretty favorable. Though I'm not going to cast any of them off as sure innocents.

For those who voted for Kitanna I would probably say Eomer is the most suspicious of them. Spawn's vote looks bad, but as an experiences wolf (or perhaps human? She should expect that such a vote would make her look bad). Could it be a bluff possibly, but right now I think of those who voted for Kitanna, Eomer would look the most hero-esque simply because it would be a safer vote for a hero to hide in instead of someone like Spawn's vote. As much as I'd hate to admit, our crabby wolf does have a point in that someone has to propose ideas and find ways to win. Mr. Morm is acting no different from any other wolving adventures I've been on him with, he's always the one to propose plans, as crazy or "evil-intended" as they sound (i.e. saying our gifteds should come forward) his plans are usually with the best of intentions. Though, it's possible he knows this and is only using it for his own evil purposes, I do doubt it, and think our crabby wolf is just trying to help.

As far as some of the other votes go. Now, my main reason for saying I would suspect those who voted for Spawn was because she was not here a lot yesterday and would be an easy target to pile up on. I did not want another bandwagon started, especially against someone who wasn't here and explained she wasn't going to be here. After her vote Spawn will have a lot of explaining to do, but based on yesterday Farael's and Nonna's vote both seem like an attempt to get the ball rolling against Spawn, and I still hold those same beliefs. Nonna's vote especially looks like an attempt to get the ball rolling.

As far as some of the other votes, I'm afraid I can't make much out of them, seems like people just voted for who they believed to be guilty. Though a hero is probably hiding in there somewhere, I can't make out those votes, perhaps someone will be able to.

I will say my vote for Nonna is because I highly suspect him, no one changed my mind for who to vote yesterday and his vote for Spawn only made him look more heroish in my eyes.

[Meneltarmacil]

Apology accepted, Mithalwen. However, though being the Alpha male has it's benefits, I really don't care much for the leadership role. I prefer being able to do what I want on my own time without having to mediate petty quarrels, avoid murder attemps by ambitious underlings, and such. But thanks anyway.

It seems my theory may have been correct. Rune, "Hero #3," is now dead, and that leaves Heroes 1 and 2, at least one of which likely voted for Glirdan the first round. I find it unlikely that one of them voted for Rune, at least not early on.

People Voting for Glirdan, Against Rune:
Formendacil
Farael
WaynetheGoblin
mormegil

The name that stands out the most here would be Farael, and he is now my prime suspect for Hero #1. Oddwen, another suspect I had for Hero #1, does not appear that suspicious anymore as Rune would not have been killed if she had voted for someone else.

As for Hero #2, Dancing spawn is certainly possible, as she was one of the Kitanna voters. However, since her "third vote" for Nonnacedak was a cross-post with Sauce, it is diffucult to accuse her of jumping on a bandwagon. The only person we could consider as being part of a "Nonna bandwagon" is Boromir88, and there is little evidence that would point to him. However, spawn may be a Hero who, like Rune was just going to vote for an easy target, which Nonnacedak was due to the many suspicions of him.

In conclusion, Farael is my top suspect, followed by dancing spawn.