TOL-IN-GAURHOTH XII, Erbar Telamarth - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

Firefoot · 10-20-2005, 02:57 PM

I've been in and out a lot more than I had thought today, hence my lack of posts. I'm glad to see that most of you are finding me innocent; hopefully that doesn't make me a target for the wolves tonight.

Right now my suspect list is comprised of six people, in roughly this order:

Formendacil
Shelob
Mr. Underhill
Lhuna
Fea
TGWBS

The last three (Lhuna, Fea, and TGWBS) are more neutral than suspicious, but I don't want to narrow my list too much so early in the game. I haven't written off any of the rest, but they don't seem as suspicious to me.

Formendacil and Shelob are still my choices for wolves; however, it seems odd that all three wolves would be in the first half of voters. Granted, there are RL commitments, but it still seems that the wolves would want to leave someone around in case things start to go horribly awry. But then, maybe that was part of the strategy. People who vote earlier tend to look less suspicious than those who vote later, depending somewhat on the outcome. But I think that one of them is probably a wolf - I'm not certain, but that's how it seems to me.

A Formendacil/Mr. Underhill combination would be interesting - it would mean that Formendacil is playing a bold game, having voted for him. Bluffing? Maybe. Before his vote for Mr. U, Formendacil didn't mention him at all as being suspicious - his list was lmp, Anguirel, and Morm - either innocent or in a very innocent light right now. Would Formen try to play this bold a game? At that point, only four other people had been voted for, one of them himself. Hm.

That's all I have time for right now, I'll likely expand/revise later.

Edit: cross-posting with Boromir and Morm.

Boromir88 · 10-20-2005, 03:05 PM

Quote:

Erm... you need to sort out innocents. Otherwise you may as well vote more or less at random.~tgwbs

I think that's ok for a day. Because, it does sort out who seems innocent, and who doesn't, and kind of narrows down the field. But, to say the way they voted the day prior makes them automatically innocent, is something that I say is wrong.

My time to vote has to come. It's Thursday, I have to go at 6 and serve on a panel for this Pro-school bond issue.

I'm such a caring member of the community, it's a wonder why no one trusts me.

Boromir88 · 10-20-2005, 03:08 PM

I am actually having the thought that our two wolves haven't voted yet, and seeing as Lhuna and Shelob won't be back (from my understanding right?) they're easy targets to go after and get people to follow them. I really must suspect those leading against Shelob and Lhuna.

Boromir88 · 10-20-2005, 03:20 PM

Triple posting, because I must go and eat here, and nothing's changed since my last two posts. So, I'm going to vote for...

++Formendacil

Believe it or not, second day in a row, and no one's convinced me to vote otherwise. I was thinking of voting for Feanor, but her statements have (believe it or not) swayed me for today.

Estelyn Telcontar · 10-20-2005, 03:24 PM

OK, I must risk incurring Boromir's suspicion, probably even that of others, but my gut feeling today again points me toward Shelob. I hesitate to vote a second day for the same person - and in tandem with the same person, tgwbs! - but there's something there that jars with me, though I can't put my finger on it to explain. Therefore:

++Shelob

G'night all!

10-20-2005, 03:08 PM	#3
Boromir88 Laconic Loreman Join Date: Feb 2004 Location: USA Posts: 7,521	I am actually having the thought that our two wolves haven't voted yet, and seeing as Lhuna and Shelob won't be back (from my understanding right?) they're easy targets to go after and get people to follow them. I really must suspect those leading against Shelob and Lhuna. __________________ Fenris Penguin

10-20-2005, 03:20 PM	#4
Boromir88 Laconic Loreman Join Date: Feb 2004 Location: USA Posts: 7,521	Triple posting, because I must go and eat here, and nothing's changed since my last two posts. So, I'm going to vote for... ++Formendacil Believe it or not, second day in a row, and no one's convinced me to vote otherwise. I was thinking of voting for Feanor, but her statements have (believe it or not) swayed me for today. __________________ Fenris Penguin

10-20-2005, 03:24 PM	#5
Estelyn Telcontar Princess of Skwerlz Join Date: Jan 2002 Location: where the Sea is eastwards (WtR: 6060 miles) Posts: 7,500	OK, I must risk incurring Boromir's suspicion, probably even that of others, but my gut feeling today again points me toward Shelob. I hesitate to vote a second day for the same person - and in tandem with the same person, tgwbs! - but there's something there that jars with me, though I can't put my finger on it to explain. Therefore: ++Shelob G'night all! __________________ 'Mercy!' cried Gandalf. 'If the giving of information is to be the cure of your inquisitiveness, I shall spend all the rest of my days in answering you. What more do you want to know?' 'The whole history of Middle-earth...'

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10-20-2005, 02:57 PM	#1
Firefoot Illusionary Holbytla Join Date: Dec 2003 Posts: 7,547	I've been in and out a lot more than I had thought today, hence my lack of posts. I'm glad to see that most of you are finding me innocent; hopefully that doesn't make me a target for the wolves tonight. Right now my suspect list is comprised of six people, in roughly this order: Formendacil Shelob Mr. Underhill Lhuna Fea TGWBS The last three (Lhuna, Fea, and TGWBS) are more neutral than suspicious, but I don't want to narrow my list too much so early in the game. I haven't written off any of the rest, but they don't seem as suspicious to me. Formendacil and Shelob are still my choices for wolves; however, it seems odd that all three wolves would be in the first half of voters. Granted, there are RL commitments, but it still seems that the wolves would want to leave someone around in case things start to go horribly awry. But then, maybe that was part of the strategy. People who vote earlier tend to look less suspicious than those who vote later, depending somewhat on the outcome. But I think that one of them is probably a wolf - I'm not certain, but that's how it seems to me. A Formendacil/Mr. Underhill combination would be interesting - it would mean that Formendacil is playing a bold game, having voted for him. Bluffing? Maybe. Before his vote for Mr. U, Formendacil didn't mention him at all as being suspicious - his list was lmp, Anguirel, and Morm - either innocent or in a very innocent light right now. Would Formen try to play this bold a game? At that point, only four other people had been voted for, one of them himself. Hm. That's all I have time for right now, I'll likely expand/revise later. Edit: cross-posting with Boromir and Morm.