Werewolf IX: the Saga Owns You and You Know It

[Kath]

I am saying that you might be the Bear on the basis that you suspected mormegil to be a Wolf. And the fact that you openly voiced strong accusations of mormegil does not excuse you entirely. It could be a double-bluff.

I see. Well all I can say to that is I am not clever enough to carry it out nor brave enough to attempt it! If I were the Bear and had tried that I strongly suspect that I would be dead by now!

Now, as to other people;
Folwren - I must say she confuses me. She went after me yesterday for accepting morm's cross posting defence, then backtracked on that and went for a new tack, accusing me of the phantoms death instead, with no real reason. Is she going to expand on that at all? And then we have this quote from her;

If I am killed, I will be one more good person dead and I will be leaving no trails to help you find who the evil are.

As I recall very few people have been suspicious of Folwren so it seems odd for her to give a defence just out of the blue like that. To be honest I am not sure that she is guilty, she could just be a little confused or freaked out by all the accusing going on, but I'd like to hear some explanations from her quite soon.

Shelob - We haven't really heard much from her but what she has said has been quite helpful. That comment about the wolves killing one of a pair of adversaries is a good one. Are they trying to frame the survivor or are they playing a clever double bluff?

Holbytlass - Well she is another with no reasons for her suspicions but she has said that she'll be back later with more information so I'll wait for her.

Meneltarmacil - I suspect of wolvery for reasons that I have explained before. Unless things change majorly today and he manages to avert my suspicions he will be the recipient of my vote again.

WaynetheGoblin - Hasn't been as talkative as he was on the first day. Is this because he has learnt his lesson about slips of the tongue? And if so is he keeping quiet because he is a wolf and now wants to avoid suspicion of any kind? I'd like to see some posts from him today.

wilwarin538 - It seems now that she saved two innocents from the noose the other day though this could be a way of avoiding suspicion. Still, I have to say that I don't suspect her.

Durelin - Another person with an out of the blue insistence on innocence;

All I can say is, I am innocent, and completely useless. Chances are I will be killed by the wolves or the bear, being the quiet and pointless one.

Actually looking at that it is incredibly similar to Folwren's declaration of ord status. Is it possible that these two are wolves working together? If they consulted each other to find a way to avoid suspicion then this similarity might be explained.

Saucepan Man - Well, what am I supposed to think! He is about the only really loud person left (except for Nilp who we know to be innocent) and being an obvious and important presence in the village is often a wolvish strategy. And yet I find myself unable to suspect him. the phantom we now know was the Seer and he stated that Saucepan Pan was not on his list of suspects. Now it seems unlikely that such a person would just believe in innocence and so I'm guessing that he dreamed of SpM and found him innocent. So Saucy, no suspicion here.

Kath - Not a bear, not a wolf. But then I would say that!

Azaelia of Willowbottom - I was accused yesterday for not finding her suspicious. Today I have heard nothing from her and would like to wait for something at least before deciding whether to join this particular bandwagon or remain thinking of her as an innocent.

Cailín - Another one who thinks I am the Bear;

If the bear decided to stick to the phantom's plan, it's probably Kath - the only one really suspicious of morm. However, we cannot be sure of that.

This I suppose is a fair comment, except that if I was the Bear and following the phantom's plan in this way I would surely have killed Meneltarmacil the night before having been suspicious of him all day.

Nilpaurion Felagund - Claims to be the second Shirriff and has not been contested so I think we'll have to take that as being the truth. Therefore beyond suspicion.

Gil-Galad - We have heard nothing from him yet today so again I will wait.

Glirdan - Has certainly taken a beating today, and I can't say that I disagree. His little speech this morning was incredibly over the top, but then I thought SamwiseGamgee's defence was too much and he turned out to be innocent. Just a couple of things that he said caught my eye;

Unless the wolves chose randomly, yet that seems highly unlikely

Why? If they didn't know who the Seer was and had no real idea as to who anyone was then all they could really have done was choose randomly. Also, as Shelob said, killing the phantom could have been a way to try and set up the Saucepan Man, who by default I have to think of as innocent, so we would lynch an innocent today. Therefore we have a reason for the wolves to have chosen him. Also;

And the bear! His first victim was (not counting Shelob's poor llama) Kitanna who happened to be the cobbler! And now he got a shiriff!? Coincidence? once again, I think not.

Has he misunderstood? It is a good thing that the Bear killed Kitanna, the Cobbler is an enemy of the village.
He is another one that confuses me in that some of his comments could be easily misconstrued, like Wayne's before, but it seems only right to give him the benefit of the doubt to explain himself so I'll wait for another post. If one is not forthcoming then he'll have to go on my suspect list, which as of now reads like this:

Meneltarmacil
Folwren
Durelin