WW LXXIX: Fall From Olympus

[Nogrod]

Alright.

Looking at Boro's posting the only believable seer hint - let's say unambiguos - is the one concerning Eonwë being -4 damage to us innocents. THat's actually quite boldly said if the scale has been made with innocent dying being between +1-10.

Now there are two clear "buts" involved.
1) Boro might be the false seer and thus his dream is incorrect. (although a cursed might appear as a wolf or a wolf as a cursed - among other roles available, just to remind you there are those possibilities as well)
2) Why would have Boro picked Eonwë as his first dream? There could have been more like "usual suspects"? (but then again, he has been an amazing seer thus far and sometimes seers go their ways)

But on top of that there are a few things.

Eonwë's toying with the "Wolf! There you had it!" and the stuff about Dionysos from Day1. He defended the way some others had already suggested by saying it was too obvious. Once again: a thing may look obvious when pointed out but when going with the flow it's not obvious unless you're looking for it. That's the way the hints get through, being obvious enough to one who looks for it but not obvious enough to one whop doesn't look for it - unless some maddening person brings them forwards for all to see...

And the fact, that it's probably not only the wolves who try to assure us it was too obvious but maybe also some innocents think like that, actually speaks in favour of my theory. If an innocent thinks it's too obvious then it wouldn't have been one.

And actually there was also this in the last minutes:

Originally Posted by Eonwë

But isn't the Cursed meant to play on the side of the village until they become a wolf?

I do read that as the classical "hey, I'm ignorant of that possibility" -defence which is always quite suspicious. I think that from the discussion we'd had we had quite clearly come to the conclusion that there is a flaw in the rules where the cursed is given the knowledge of him being the cursed thus making it possible for the cursed to play from the beginning as the wannabe-wolf.

But could he be a wolf? Well... Boro said he would be -4 damage to us if killed, so what would he give for a wolf and what for a cursed?

My main reason for my heightened suspicions on him toDay is this:

So, are you saying that as a wolf you'd rather kill the seer than leave one of your own to get killed so early on?

Because Boro basically voted for me for no reason, so obviously if the wolves killed him it would point straight to me. Wouldn't that be more than a little risky?

I read it, and read it again, and re-read it... and I was almost giving up, going back to Nerwen, or anyone... The first part of it just looks soo uninformed and boldly ignorant... so an innocent accused by the false seer or just a cursed we could and maybe even should wait for to lynch untill there is a sign of someone turning into a wolf (like Glirdy promised to let us know from the narration). But then the latter part really struck on me.

Let me quote it once again:

Originally Posted by Eonwë

Because Boro basically voted for me for no reason, so obviously if the wolves killed him it would point straight to me. Wouldn't that be more than a little risky?

Wouldn't that be more than a little risky? For an innocent Eonwë? Who was voted for no reason by the seer?

What risk would the wolves have had if their kill pointed at an innocent Eonwë?

And it's clear to everyone, if the possible seer was right and named X as a wolf, then it is the most risky for the wolves to let the possible seer to live - even if it costs one of them the next Day. And someone voting firmly "with no reason at all" is the benchmark of a seer...

And with four wolves, possibly more in the future, they could afford it nicely...


So how does this go together with my initial "cursed"-suspicion?

There's the enigmatic number -4. Was Boro trying to hint he was not that big a baddie or just trying to protect himself not going outright naming him -10 or somethig? I don't know.

Those of you who though Eonwë was not making cursed hints - as those would have been too bold - should think of the following though. How about a wolf-Eonwë? Maybe they discussed it and thought we would not lynch the possible cursed so one of them trying to pose as one could slip under the radar that way? Actually that would be quite a nice idea: provoking exactly the reaction some of you had - and what's most desirable, the idea of "let's not lynch him". What a perfect hiding-place for a wolf...

So looking at all that I must say:

++ Eonwë


EDIT: add a reading instruction - this is a "dramatically build-post" aka. the motive is opened bit by bit like my thought processes went, from cursed to wolf...