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Originally Posted by Nogrod
There 24 players of which 1 is the Seer. The chances of hitting the Seer on D1 lynching = 1/24.
THere are 3+3 wolves in this game. The chances of getting a wolf on D1 lynching = 6/24 = 1/4. And add to that the practical stats we've just seen (a village is slightly better than random in picking up the villains), so yeah. Let's try and hunt a wolf toDay.
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Hard to argue with this. Additionally, an organised tie a) won't give us as much to analyse and b) has a fairly good chance of getting accidentally botched by cross-posting, miscounting or just plain not knowing who's going to turn up and vote and who forgets/abstains/is late.
EDIT: x-ed with Nog - well, somebody taught me well. 
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