After repeated experience of writing a post, fifty new posts coming while I write, then ending up with an endless scroll, I'm going to post one whole thought now and continue with more afterwards.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Boromir88
Ok, so I took out those who didn't vote for either G55/Brinn. 2 wagons that big had to have wolf involvement.
As noted already today, Steve's and Greenie's throw away votes came within the 30 minute mark. Looks of "not wanting to get their hands dirty." At the same time, can't tell if they're too suspicious without knowing Brinn's role.
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Boro's starting remark "there must be Wolves among these big bandwagons" (while likely) and the fact he excluded the remaining votes forced me to look them up and that in turn prompted me to calculate.
It is *theoretically* possible that the Wolves are
Lhuna,
Boro,
Shasta,
Kitanna,
Greenie and/or
Eönwë (and/or
Lalaith). And so in fact, there is rather a big chance that there is a Wolf among those, and to be honest, I am actually more convinced that there is at least one - or likely more than one.
Since I'm at it, I could just as well look at them.
Lhuna's self-vote would be a perfect cover. Perfect in the sense that she would do it regardless, so it has no objective impact as evidence. But if she was a Wolf, it'd be ideal way to keep her hands clean (no pun intended).
More interesting are those who came later. All of those came after the 30 min mark and came sort of in response to the appearing bandwagons. The beginning came from the discussion "
G55 or
Pitch" and actually several people leaned both ways and didn't want
Brinniel. Some of those who originally took part in the debate (
Hui,
Lottie) later voted
G55 over
Pitchwife, already at the point when it was very late and it came to the race between the two.
Both
Shasta and
Kitanna voiced fairly reasonably backed suspicions based on the "
Pitchwife goes on offense-defense" argument related to the whole trialogue.
Greenie's vote for
Mac is the "safest" in the sense that it comes up with a new bandwagon when there are others already going. I actually still don't like it because I think it easily could be faked. But I would need more data to form a broader picture.
Eönwë is right in the same category with his single vote for
Urwen. On second look, I have to backtrack on what I said in my previous post and say that it really looks throwaway, however, at the same time, I still think it looks rather like an innocent throwaway. Less than 15 minutes before end, a throwaway vote is a suspicious move, and not sure if an
Eönwölf would do it.
That's some musing on those.
Lalaith I see has appeared since. I hope we are going to have more input from her, including a vote; same goes for
Lhuna.
Back to reading...