A look at
Legate:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Legate
Overall there are multiple people who look like they could be Cobblers (Lottie, Nilp, Pitch), and from the others whom I consider suspicious at least to a degree there would be Form or BG. That is kind of preciously little. Ok, off to check the posts and ooooh how is it this late!!
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From Day 1. Well
Lottie = innocent,
Nilp I am assuming = BH,
Form = innocent, BG = innocent. So the only person left there is
Pitch. Would
Legate hide a wolf amongst a list of innocents? I can't see why not. Also, there was a lot of Cobbler talk from
Legate in hindsight as opposed to wolf talk. He convinces himself
Form is a Cobbler then votes
Form because he is more suspicious than
Hui by default of being a Cobbler. Oh blast, how didn't we spot this:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Legate
It is possible he might be a Cobbler, but I still find him more suspicious by default than Hui.
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It can only be by default if you know that
Hui is innocent ... which
Legate did!
Day 2
Exonerates
Shasta's vote for
Hui by saying it's impossible to tell how the
Hui-wagon would go. Soft defend. Says
Rikae's vote would only be significant if
Form was a wolf, which he now know he wasn't, so could be setting up a defence. Begins to push suspicion of
Nog here based on his vote. Not sure what he was concluding about my vote.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Legate
Otherwise, to me personally, the most suspicious votes seem to be Pitch's, which was the most throwaway thing ever and I would like to hear more reasoning for it, and BG's, which I still consider it like riding the coattails of Hui's. That would, however, make sense only if Form was not a Wolf. Or in other words, if BG is a Wolf, Form is likely not, and vice versa. Something to keep in mind.
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Setting up a handy x relies on y that it turns out was based on two innocents. So he knew
BG and
Form were innocent and again pops
Pitch's name in with that list.
Says
Mac is downplaying the likelihood of
Form and
Nilp being wolves. Then leaps on
Nog.
Summary of list post:
Good =
Lommy, Greenie ( known innocent),
Brinn, Rikae
Middle =
Pitch, Nilp (assumed BH),
Kath, Shasta, sally
Bad =
Mac, Form (known innocent),
Nog (known innocent),
BG (known innocent)
So at a guess,
Mac could be a wolf as
Legate would probably be willing to name a fellow lupine as a top suspect. Also, at this point, I don't think
Mac was even near a potential lynch candidate for most of the village, so it's a pretty safe suspicion. And then one from the middle - so to me that's
Pitch, Shasta, sally. And one from the good - so
Lommy, Brinn or
Rikae.
Well that reeeeally narrowed things down.
Hmm, right after that, he revises his list to make
Shasta and
sally more suspicious.
Day 3
Pushes at
Rikae and
Pitch for their votes. So I'd say maybe only one of these two would be wolfy. Also starts to connect
Mac and
Nilp as a pairing. Jumps on Form at this point.
Looks at
Mac and decides it could go either way.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Legate
The only thing that still puzzles me is the accusation of Mac he has made; if Nilp's innocent, that was dangerous at the very least.
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In
Nilp's previous post, he downgraded
Mac from top suspect to 6th/7th, so this doesn't actually make any sense. Sensitive to mentions of
Mac because ...
Mac's a fellow wolf?
New list (summarised - and I underlined movers):
Good =
Lommy, Brinn (previously was
Lommy, Greenie, Brinn, Rikae)
Middle =
Greenie, Kath, Pitch, Rikae, Shasta (previously was
Pitch, Nilp, Kath, Shasta, sally)
Bad =
sally, Mac, Form (previously was
Mac, Form, Nog, BG)
So I'd say only one of
sally and
Mac was a wolf then, as they're both in the red there.
Mac, sally, Rikae are standing out the most to me here. Followed by
Shasta and
Pitch. Which probably means the remaining wolves are
Lommy, Brinn and flipping
Nilp given how wrong I've been all game.