I know it's hard for us modern thinikers to understand. I can just hear it "Dad! I'm 2800 years old! I can make my own decisions!" But
Mlo I think you hit on the key to Elrond's decision in your original post;
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but Aragorn had lived at Rivendell for a long while, and was probably like a son to him, and could easily have been killed while trying to get king.
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Consider that possibility from Elrond's point of view; Your daughter marries a mortal and gives up her immortality. Then next month or next year her husband is killed in a quest to gain his rightful throne. What kind of life would have been left to Arwen then? Married a year or two to a wanna-be and then she'd die of a broken heart. Elrond definately had her best interests at heart.
[ October 18, 2002: Message edited by: Raefindel ]