Looking at all the complexities of the game - and how kind of rough (read:impossible) the setting has been to the innocents - I'm not actually surprised from anything strange happening, or that even one odd turn of events would be favouring innocents for a change.
So my first reaction is I tend to (or hope to) believe in Nerwen, especially as I think Lottie is one of the best candidates there are (alongside Sally btw. - I'm not that happy to believe her lover-revealment in the first place).
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Upon the hearth the fire is red
Beneath the roof there is a bed;
But not yet weary are our feet...
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