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Old 01-08-2014, 05:15 PM   #150
Legate of Amon Lanc
A Voice That Gainsayeth
 
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
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Legate of Amon Lanc is spying on the Black Gate.Legate of Amon Lanc is spying on the Black Gate.Legate of Amon Lanc is spying on the Black Gate.Legate of Amon Lanc is spying on the Black Gate.Legate of Amon Lanc is spying on the Black Gate.Legate of Amon Lanc is spying on the Black Gate.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Galadriel55 View Post
Well, maybe I just am.

Unfortunately, I have no wolves to offer you. What I can give you is names of people not to lynch.

However, I really want to see the interactions before I give them away. On the other hand, I'll only be home at 10pm GMT-5, and I don't want people to vote before I do that. I am debating between revealing them now and revealing them then. If you have suggestions, I'm still here for about 10 minutes before I leave.
Okay, very interesting in any case. I agree that we should not, humm, be hasty, and Boro and Kitanna speak sense in that way. But yes, sure. G55's plan is sound. If she is a real Seer, by all means, let her present us with something later on.

Let me just count it - we have seven people in total. One Seer, one Hunter, one Hacker, and two or three Wolves. That leaves one or two Ordos. Personally, I'd be more inclined to believe in one ordo and two Wolves, since three would be really deadly. But let's see...

Worst case scenario: G55 is a Hacker and there are 3 Wolves, they vote together and win. Ergo, I would have expected to happen it already if it was that way, even though given the "liveliness" of this village, as nobody seems to be posting much...

Another bad case scenario: there are two Wolves only and G55 is a Hacker. Therefore, G55 has no idea who are innocents and Wolves, therefore, if she wants to impersonate Seer, she will have to make up random names. That's why she leaves it all for later, since a) either real Seer panicks and reveals, therefore WWs can kill the Seer next time, or b) people will expose her and lynch her and she will at least die heroically for the WW's cause. It would mean in any case drastically reducing the chances of winning. Now that we don't have a Ranger, the only thing left to rely on is the Hunter, and otherwise it is very much down to lynching a baddie toDay. 7 people -> if we mislynch, 6 people -> if the WWs don't manage to get the Hunter and get killed, 5 people next Day -> showdown.

Good case scenario: G55 is genuinely a Seer and I can imagine it being so as well, then hopefully we can get some names toDay...

Well, in either case, if G55 is good, it is in her best interest to really tell us the names of the innocents ASAP after she comes home, also because this village is so quiet that it's actually counterproductive to the attempt of figuring anything out of dialogue. And if we learn the names of the innocents too late, then a real Seer cannot disprove them, if there is one, and given the amount of people in the village, that's bad.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Blind Guardian View Post
Didn't you also admit to being the Cobbler and Wolf and everything else this game? And you expect us to trust you now?
This just rings "bad" to me, because while G55 was obviously using (whether she actually is a real Seer or not) her previous quote as sort of random reference, not as proof (the proof was her revelation itself), BG is taking this as "serious" thing, which is somewhat eyebrow-raising at least for me.

However, there is something to this, although on a subtler level than BG puts it - rather one could ask the question, would G55 really have made such posts earlier if she were a Seer? Then again, Seer needs to hide his tracks as well, so as not to be found too early, and thus may even post stuff that a Seer would never post (such as hiding that in the banter that followed in G55's post in question, with her saying "I am also an Ordo, a Cobbler... etc...")

Quote:
Originally Posted by BG
Morsul, I am a girl.
Now I just had this image of Morsul and BG being wolves and staging this... random and awful idea.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Morsul the Dark View Post
Also the nightkill makes me pretty much sure that my theory from yesterday was wrong. So Shasta is back on my nice list.
Now that we are at it, and people don't seem to be posting much, care to clarify in any way, or is it still too "hot topic"?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Blind Guardian View Post
Legate --> Rune (4) (I didn't see a reason, except that Rune was with her at the time? I gotta say this was a bandwagon vote.)
And I am a he. It was a choice between Morsul and Rune, and I picked Rune because I believed Morsul to be innocent more than I believed Rune to be.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Morsul the Dark View Post
similar to yesterday now that you mention it... or Day two however you want to say it...
Yes, it defintely was. In both Days, I came back for the last hour and was basically left with the already existing votes to pick from, and wasn't very happy with either (or did not have much idea who to vote), and was waiting for several (four, if I'm not mistaken) people to come and vote, and they did not seem to be around for really long time, if at all (G55 was, but Boro appeared rather out of nowhere and BG did not vote at all), so I went with someone who could at least get lynched, and truth be told, I was influenced by what G55 said about sally.

Well, that's it. All that said, I was at work during the first part of the Day, and it was nice not to have to read too many posts when I came, but still, a bit more would be nice... Also, I have to go to sleep soon again and then I'll be back only before DL, so... here we go. Still around for a while though, hope I at least x-posted with someone.
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