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Originally Posted by Steve
New players are unpredictable. And with the way Echo was posting, I could definitely see the wolves opting to wait another day. If they went for him/her, it would totally implicate Kath whether or not Echo was actually the Seer. In this scenario, they would have been on the alert for seerishness from Echo yesterDay, and, well, they were definitely given it. And anyway, I find it unlikely that Zil was attempt at a gifted at all.
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Sure. You’re under no obligation to agree with my reasoning. That’s not the point,
Steve.
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Originally Posted by Steve
The next sentence of my post holds the answer (i.e. what I just said above):
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Originally Posted by Eönwë
I thought we'd already agreed on the Holby-dream being the most likely. I don't think anyone actually suggest a Kath-dream to be more likely, except for me within the context of a 'make-it-look-like-we-though-Echo-is-a-seer' kill.
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I am aware that you were describing two separate scenarios. However, you said:
"If
Echo were a Seer, the most likely dreams would either be
Kath as innocent or
Holby as a sorcerer. Given the sudden change, and lack of
Holby suspicion on D1, the former would be more likely”
Here, yes, you’re talking about your double-bluffing scenario (where
Kath is a wolf killing
Echo in order to look better). But your statement that
Kath would have been the supposed Seer-
Echo's “most likely dream" is a general one, not specific to that scenario.
Therefore, the contradiction remains.
Now, again, you don’t have to agree with me on why
Echo was killed. I could be completely wrong. Despite the evidence, it may be that the wolves killed
Echo for some other reason entirely. Who knows– except them, of course. What I do not appreciate is being heavily attacked simply for analysing the posts of a dead player, and especially for examining them in the light of scenarios suggested by you yourself.
Yes, you’re trying to back away from it all now– but you were ready to scream “sorcerer” at me before. On that note, I particularly don’t care for that little bit you threw in about, “
Holby voting for you as she died”. No, not just on personal grounds– I'm actually wondering now if that was something cooked up overnight–
“I know, let’s try and pass off Holby’s vote as wolf-on-wolf, heh, heh..."