"Tolkien might have a better excuse for having wild coincidences advance his plot than most authors."
Like Pratchett's million-to-one chance: according to the rules of Narrative Causality, if you can get the odds of success of something ridiculous pushed up to a million to one, it's guaranteed to work.
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The entire plot of The Lord of the Rings could be said to turn on what Sauron didn’t know, and when he didn’t know it.
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