Still nothing from
Skip Spence and
A Little Green, although it seems likely that
A Little Green will show up later. On the bright side, it looks as if all the people here today will vote.
What isn't good is that so far the following people have said very little:
Boromir,
Sally,
Shasta,
Skip, and
A Little Green. (Although to be fair,
Boromir's one post did at least have a vote in it.) That's half of our number. How can we seriously try to pick out wolves when half the village have said so little that we can examine? We can look at the people who have posted so far, on the grounds that
Pom and
Nerwen and others have been discussing, although even for those the conversation has not exactly been raging away. It's come to the point of having to weigh up the problem of only considering half of the village vs the problem of including the other half as well but having no evidence to judge them by. I have no idea what we should do. Both options are distasteful. I'll try to think about it some more, but for now I've got to go to sleep.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nerwen
On the subject of probabilities and statistics– Coppermirror, the village *always* has to catch a wolf in the first few Days. I have to tell you, new players quite often go through a phase where they tie themselves in knots over this fact, but honestly, it's just how WW works.
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Yep, that must be true. This village is a particularly small one, though, so I do find it helpful to know exactly what the limits we're working with are.