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Old 06-30-2011, 07:14 AM   #337
Nilpaurion Felagund
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Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: The brink, where hope and despair are akin. [The Philippines]
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Galadriel55 View Post
Please explain your logic. I came to the conclusion that they may as well have done that, to look innocent - and if they have, they succeeded with you at least.
It's DAY 1. Votes are going to be random. I won't do a statistical study, but I'd imagine that less baddies are killed on DAY 1 than in any other DAY.

I think that baddie-fratricide would be more beneficial when a more proper 'case' against a fellow baddie could be made, cos then the baddie-accuser could not be suspected of having hidden knowledge of who's who in the village. Again, this is from the (theoretical) logical standpoint.

But since apparently this Lottie gal attracts lynches that would make me jealous, I'm beginning to suspect if this theoretical logical situation applies at all. The baddies's latest kill drives home the point--why not kill one of the Lottie voters instead (since it gets rid of a trusted villager AND a possible Seer), unless one of them is a baddie?

BUT, argh, that could also be the reason (or one of the reasons) for their kill, to cast reasonable doubt on their presumed innocence--which however, this village has already taken with more than a few grains of salt. So meh.
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Last edited by Nilpaurion Felagund; 06-30-2011 at 07:19 AM. Reason: statistic -> statistical study; added 'kill' & relocated parenthetical phrase to its proper location in the last sentence
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