This chart assumes the legitimacy of Phantom’s seer reveal. If he’s lying, I just wasted my time and will personally kill him when I see him tomorrow. Fair warning, Prince Pudding.
Dead players are italicized, moddess/dead-confirmed roles are bolded. Phantom-confirmed roles are dipped in chocolate and dusted with powdered sugar….but there’s no tag for that.
PLAYERS
Shasta: lover
Nog: probable wolf (I believe he’d want to make his pack’s presence known on the dead thread)
Agan: lover
Glirdan: ordo
Green: unknown
Elra: wolf or cobbler
Manwe: unknown, likely ordo (my assumption, given that Day One was, as usual, a mess, though I won’t swear by this)
Nerwen: unknown
Lottie: unknown
Wilwa: ordo
Legate: cobbler
Lommie: non-wolf (innocent or cobbler)
Nessa: unknown
BG: ordo (formerly Glorfindel, if Ang can be believed)
Sally: ordo (and just darn adorable)
Phantom: seer
Boro: hunter
Mith: innocent of some kind
Ang: ranger
Fea: innocent
That means of the roles, we have the following unaccounted for….
Three wolves, two cobblers, and four ordos.
Assuming Phantom is telling the truth, it’s impossible for all three wolves to be alive; they’d have hopped onto the vote for Phantom by now and the game would be over. Thus, one of the following dead must be a wolf:
Nog, Lottie, Nessa
Obviously they can’t all be wolves, because, again, the game would be over. Adding in the living unknown players, our wolf pack must contain three of the following players:
Nog, Green, Elra, Manwe, Nerwen, Lottie, Nessa
That makes our lynch choice for toDay one of the following:
Green, Elra, and Nerwen
We’re betting a lot on Phantom’s information. I say we have Elra keep her pick on Phantom and test their claims. If Elra is telling the truth, we’ll be out a phabbler or a pholf, and if she’s lying, we’ll have lynched us some sort of baddie. My hunch rests with the latter, but that’s my prerogative.
What do you say, folks? Shall we get ourselves a bucketload of tasty information toDay?
A closing note: Yes, I know, I’m not a confirmed innocent. But I’m hardly going to suggest I be a lynch choice, especially since I’m an ordo, am I? I think not. So nyah.
Another note: I just auto-saved this so I could post it from my phone, not caring what the title was, and Word just took the first few words for the title. Thus, I have a file on my phone called “this chart assumes the legitimacy of Phantom.”
EDIT: x'd since my last