[Eönwë]

Now what if I were to say that I am the real Hunter?
Ok, ok, just joking.



*Picks up pieces of brain scattered around the room*

Ok, but seriously:


So, in reality, I think it makes more sense that Wilwa is really the hunter. Skip, on the other hand, I'm not sure.

These are the possibilities (all of the ones possible):

1. Wilwa is the hunter and Skip is innocent.
2. Wilwa is the hunter and Skip is a Cobbler.
3. Wilwa is the hunter and Skip is a Wolf.
4. Wilwa is an innocent and Skip is the Hunter.
5. Wilwa is an innocent and Skip is a Wolf.
6. Wilwa is an innocent and Skip is the Cobbler.
7. Wilwa is an innocent and Skip is an innocent.
8. Wilwa is the Cobbler and Skip is the Hunter.
9. Wilwa is the Cobbler and Skip is an innocent.
10. Wilwa is the Cobbler and Skip is a wolf.
11. Wilwa is a Wolf and Skip is the Hunter.
12. Wilwa is a Wolf and Skip is an innocent.
13. Wilwa is a Wolf and Skip is the Cobbler.
14. Wilwa is a Wolf and Skip is a Wolf.

Ok, now the scenario for each:

1. What Skip wants us to believe is the truth. We have no other proof, but it is a possibility, as innocents may sometimes pretend to be Gifteds in order to try to help the village, but if you like at his reasoning it is contradictory, so it doesn't really seem as though he's thought it through enough for this.

2. More likely. Skip tries to stay alive until toMorrow (his reveal is so that the wolves don't kill him until then), and can then assist the wolves in order to let them clinch the game. In addition, it adds more confusion, and would allow him to say things that the rest of the village would trust as an almost certain Innocent. Luckily, Wilwa intervened.

3. Skip tries to save himself yesterDay, and has to back it up toDay with a Hunter reveal. Benefits are that he is likely not to get lynched and that him not getting killed would not raise any suspicion (though it wouldn't really, what with him being a top suspect yesterDay, but maybe he thought to just in case). On the other hand, it is risky, especially if the real Hunter does eventually reveal, as was the case.

4. Wilwa is trying to shield Skip the Hunter, so wolves won't see a threat in him in the hope that they would vote him in the Night, to the same effect (but with less risk). Or she could be trying to get him lynched to let him possibly take down a wolf, and make it a Now-or-never situation at the end of toDay. On the other hand, she could think he's a Wolf or Cobbler and is trying to call him out on it and get him lynched. That is also an option.

5. See 4.

6. See 4.

7. Both are innocent. Both are trying to shield the true Hunter. Each may think it's the other (more likely on Wilwa's reveal) or think that the Hunter is still out there. Any of them might also be trying to draw out wolves, but this is a much more likely possibility for Skip's reveal, and he's not saying Wilwa is suspicious. Or, as Skip suggested for himself, any of them might be trying to get the Hunter out in the open (again, more likely for Skip's but Wilwa may just be intensifying it).

8. Wilwa counter-reveals to cast us into doubt over Skip's reveal. Mass confusion ensues. Skip then tries to hide himself, hoping he can hide behind a hopefully innocent person trying to help him, but may be trying to get Night-killed.

9. Skip may be telling the truth, and then Wilwa may have just been trying to confuse us all by counter-revealing instead of the real Hunter, in order to stay alive another Day and Night.

10. Skip fake-reveals to save himself and has to back it up. Wilwa realises he is a wolf and tries to cover him, and he accepts. Unlikely because it requires some co-ordination. Or maybe Wilwa thinks he's innocent and tries to get him lynched. Or Wilwa thinks he really is the hunter and tries to undermine him, which he uses to use advantage by hiding behind her.

11. Skip reveals because he feels he needs to, for whatever reason (claim yesterDay, the right time, etc.). Wilwa tries to undermine him (very risky) so that he both isn't trusted, and so that effectively has lynch-protection, and won't arouse suspicion if not killed. Alternatively, she could be trying to test whether he really is the Hunter so that she knows whether to avoid him at Night. Or she thinks he is the Cobbler, and is somehow trying to co-ordinate something for toMorrow or might be sacrificing him for the good of her wolf-pack. Or she thinks he's innocent and shielding the Hunter, and just wants to discredit him, or maybe help bring out the real Hunter.

12. Skip is telling the truth. Wilwa thinks he is the Hunter and tries to undermine him. Or Wilwa thinks he's an innocent trying to shield the Hunter and wants to bring out the Hunter. Or Wilwa thinks he's a Cobbler and is trying to show him that she knows he's one.

13. Wilwa knows he's the cobbler and tries to show him. Wilwa thinks he is the Hunter and tries to undermine him. Wilwa thinks he is an innocent and tries to force him to admit that he's not really the Hunter, and so discredits him.

14. Both Wolves. A cunning plan to confuse us all for the rest of the Day and hopefully both survive.




I personally think 1 or 2 is the most likely, but because of what Wilwa said earlier, I don't think we should dismiss 4 totally. And 7 is always an option.


Note: I started this post about an hour ago, so my thoughts may have slightly progressed by the end from what they had in the beginning.


edit: actually x-ed with Greenie too (same post as last time, i.e., the long one).