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Old 09-01-2010, 06:08 AM   #392
Aganzir
Woman of Secret Shadow
 
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells
Posts: 4,511
Aganzir is lost in the dark paths of Moria.Aganzir is lost in the dark paths of Moria.Aganzir is lost in the dark paths of Moria.Aganzir is lost in the dark paths of Moria.
Day 1: skip doesn't really say anything definite about anyone (it's mostly just banter), but his reasons for voting EW look so forced that it seems he dreamed of a wolf and tried to come up with a decent explanation to vote for him. Difficult, given that he had just made one post.

Day 2: He analyses day 1's voting. While he doesn't say anything conclusive about anyone, he semi-defends Fea by writing of those who voted for her in suspicious-ish light. He marks, though, that even her vote for EW or EW's for her don't clear her. The other two people he felt better about were Lottie and Boro for their votes that sealed EW's fate. It could be said it points to a Fea dream, but then there's this:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Boro
Like for instance, today I'm feeling far more trusting of Skip today than yesterday.
To me it looks like there's something to it. They couldn't afford to be blatantly friendly with each other because otherwise the wolves would've noticed it, but I think he could have dreamed of Boro.

Day 3: He suggests there were no wolves among the wilwa-voters, ie. Nerwen and Greenie are innocent. Now, he couldn't have dreamed of them both on night 3, and he didn't treat either of them like a known innocent earlier. He is semi-suspicious of Eomer, Lottie and Pitch, isn't too worried about Fea, thinks I am rather cobblerish, and is very concerned about sally (whom she voted for). I think he could have dreamed of either Nerwen (innocent), Greenie or Fea. However, it's really weird he makes such a case of no wolf having voted for wilwa because he obviously couldn't have known it for sure...

Day 4: He tells Nerwen he wouldn't lynch her, pretty much saying "she's innocent". It would be rather dumb of him to say that without having dreamed of her. He considers voting for Pitch, saying it looked like he and I were trying to frame him, but he didn't think I was a wolf. His dreaming of me might explain why he was so reluctant to reply to my points against him.
Quote:
Originally Posted by skip
I expect that Lottie would reveal if she's the Seer with a positive on Eomer. That would be the wise thing to do at this point.
So does this mean he hadn't dreamed of Eomer?
He considered voting Eomer, me or Lottie (because Pitch was unavailable). It's pretty certain he hadn't dreamed of sally - he talks so little of her.

Based on this, I'd suggest the following:
Night 1 - EW
Night 2 - Boro (maybe Fea)
Night 3 - Greenie (maybe Nerwen or Fea)
Night 4 - Nerwen (maybe Eomer or me)
Night 5 - could be anybody

Of course it's also possible he dreamed of somebody the night they died and we have therefore no evidence... But at least Nerwen's innocence shouldn't be a question.
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