[Nogrod]

Ahh… so I tried to look at the votings yesterday evening as I knew Iwould be short on time this morning and like I said above, one thing emerges from there quite clearly – and it’s not going to ease our job. We have had two days with two major bandwagons in both – and all those wagonned have been innocents (you'll see the truth of this later, so bear with me for a while).

But what doest that mean? Well, basically the wolves have been able to sit back and relax in all idleness on both Days, without any risk one of them or their lover’s were at stake (only Nerwen got two votes outside the major wagons and actually was tied for a moment with the other to-be-real-wagoned, but it was immediately voted into a non-possibility – all the other votes outside the wagons have been singular!). Somehow what happened in the end of D2 also just looks soo like it.

Also it is unhelpful because so few did any real work trying to come up with suspicions of their own and most ran on the suspicions of others – as there were only a few talking points on both Days. So it has been relatively easy for the wolves to fit in with their votes just echoing others on the few who have been discussed (and I do carry the blame myself as well).

I think two situations merit some discussion though. That doesn’t mean the wolves are there and only there, but that those are the two situations that stick out from the other, possibly more carefully placed votes of which it’s just so much harder to say anything. And sure, voting-action isn’t the only place to look for wolves. I know.

So on D1, on a situation where BeiGei had 5 votes, Eonwë had 2 and Nerwen had just received the 2nd vote (with a few one voters), Shasta and Lottie give votes to Eonwë lifting him high up above Nerwen and practically make it a race between BeiGei and Eonwë, two known innocents.

Okay, if they (or one of them) were trying to help Nerwen out why didn’t they just vote for BeiGei? A good question, but then again, it might have been too suspicious a choice to go for such an overpowering wagon (and /or maybe their earlier comments didn’t allow them to - I don't have time to go through them at the moment, sorry).

Interestingly I have suspected all three already before noticing that… (which doesn't make it a better case, but I'd say worthwhile to remember)


Another one is the deal-making at the end of D2 where phantom and Mac (with the late confirmation of Nerwen) decided between me and Eonwë – while suggesting different candidates to each other and Lottie & Tum. I mean, yes I do appreciate your discussions of choice reasoning-wise – and heh, it’s nice to be alive anyway, so I also do appreciate your final decision. But there was something in the air of that discussion, in the relative ease in which different people were brought in and taken out of it, that makes me really feel like I should rethink one or some of you (remember, any wolves present in the end had no mates in trouble there, they were toying with innocents known to them to be innocents). Surely I do not think you all three are wolves, but it is most unlikely you all are innocent. Or then we really do have a “lay-low” lupine community who are not interested in hanging around there in the end.

And Lottie and Tum then? They were clearly not so happy with the alternatives but tried to get me lynched whatever the other possibilities? Hmm… Maybe the given alternatives included a wolf they (one of them) didn’t like at all? Also, it is easy to see why the wolves would have wanted me dead rather than Eonwë – now that they had a chance. Eonwë could be lynched later, or maybe he really was the cursed and they could turn him the next Night?

In general I’d suggest that as wrong as it was, it did look pretty plausible Eonwë was the cursed yesterday, so those trying to save him might have been those who thought he could be useful to them?


On another note. There are only two people who have systematically stayed out of both bandwagons, namely Greenie and Rikae. I need to give the benefit of doubt to Greenie as she has voted so early on both Days and Mac has seemed to be a possible candidate on both Days at that time (which doesn’t mean a smart wolf wouldn’t take her chances with the time-zone situation and laugh at it behind the scenes how easy it is), but Rikae has been around to the late hours and has still avoided the bandwagons on both Days (first with the only vote to the phantom and the other one with a self-vote). Does that look like trying to show an independent image? Well, clearly. But what’s the reason behind it?


A random point…

Inzil and Wilwa have been successfully attending the winning bandwagon on both Days, staying low but still adding to the wagons at more or less important points. Neat.