Quote:
Originally Posted by Thinlómien
to lynch the Unicorn just for the slight chance (1/5) of getting that doesn't make any sense to me.
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Where did that 1/5 come from? If we lynched the unicorn today, there would be a 1/11 chance that
Greenie comes back, 2/11 for
Lottie to be happy and 3/11 that no one is resurrected.
And the ranger can't protect herself.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shastanis Althreduin
I'm going to agree that Nerwen and Brinn probably aren't packmates even if the Cursed /was/ turned last night - not after the way they suspected each other yesterday.
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Why? It's certain they couldn't be packmates yesterday, but there's nothing to say that if one of them is a wolf she went after the other (for whatever reason) and found her cursed.
Whether the cursed was turned or not, our safest bet is to try to find the fourth wolf instead of arguing what happened in the night. Either
wilwa tells us or not. I'd rather consider today the continuation of yesterday with practically no new information - yeah
Morsul died but it's hardly surprising he was innocent.
So, 10 of us alive now. In the worst case scenario (no ranger saves, no unicorn kill/unicorn doesn't bring anyone back), if there's just one wolf left she has to survive for five days. If there are two wolves, however, they have to stay alive for three days. So I'd say we can afford one mislynch, at most two.
And our situation becomes considerably worse if the unicorn brings
Fea back.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nerwen
What I'm really afraid of is that the last wolf may have been able to slip through without revealing any ties to his or her companions.
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Do you have a specific reason to think so?
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Nerwen
In my view the "case" against me was paper-thin
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Paper-thin or not, there were some questions I'd like to see answers to.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mirandir
Of the three options, my money is on ranger save.
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It's possible but better not to count on it. And if the cursed was turned, it would be in the fourth wolf's interests to give us a false sense of safety. Which means your comment made you rise again on my suspicion list.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nerwen
See, that's the other thing about Brinniel– she sounded like she knew Morsul was innocent.
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And you sounded like you
knew Glirdan was a wolf.