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Old 04-14-2010, 05:38 PM   #645
Brinniel
Reflection of Darkness
 
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
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Brinniel is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Brinniel is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Brinniel is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mira
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brinn
Not sure about Mira, but the way he comments on winty makes it seem like he's preparing himself to join a winty bandwagon if that were to happen on a later Day. He voted Shasta on Day 1...since it was a throwaway, it could be wolf-on-wolf, but I don't know how likely that actually is
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Darling, I'm a girl. You know this.
I was talking about Glirdan, as I had been for the entire paragraph. Rereading it, I realise it doesn't sound all that clear...sorry about that.

Some thoughts:

Innocentish:

winty- He still looks like a newbie innocent to me, plus Glirdan's growing suspicion of him doesn't look wolf-on-wolf and more likely preparing for an easy lynch.

Aganzir- On the lower end of this section, but some her actions in the game don't measure up to how I imagine she'd play as a wolf.

Legate- While his opinions on a Glirdan lynch are wishy-washy, the fact that Glirdan listed him and Sally as suspicious makes me think he's more likely innocent. I just can't see a wolf grouping two packmates as suspicious.

Morsul- Logic would tell us he's innocent based on the voting, but logic isn't always the best thing to follow. If he is a wolf, that'd be an interesting strategy to take and it's always possible. Yet I do find him more likely innocent because of his behaviour. While I don't care much for his overreacting and overconfidence (boasting how he's voted two wolves), I think that may be just part of his playing style and so it just doesn't seem that suspicious to me.

Nienna- Her posts have so far felt genuine and I can't imagine her suspicion of Glirdan being wolf-on-wolf.

No idea:

Mira- I might be slightly leaning innocent, but I'm still really not sure.

Inziladun- I really don't know and it's probably something I should look into.

Shasta- While it's possible Glirdan's vote for him could be wolf-on-wolf, I somehow think it less likely. But he doesn't mention Shasta again, and maybe that dropped suspicion could indicate wolf-on-wolf. I don't know.

Lommy- She was awfully eager to lynch Glirdan yesterDay, but is it possible this eagerness could be a cover up? Maybe. Though I'm leaning slightly towards innocent, I'm still not sure enough to place her in the innocentish category.

Possibly wolfish:

Nerwen- Glirdan showed a very slight suspicion of her and then backed away. She also seemed to me not very big on the lynch Glirdan idea, but then eventually gave in. Suspicious, but perhaps on the lower end.

Wolfish:

Nogrod- I have to say, Glirdan's comment on him looks very wolf-on-wolf. Let me post it again:

Quote:
For some reason I never suspect this guy....Maybe it's just because he always comes across as the level-headed one among us (which is saying something this time around ) or maybe it's just a charm he has....Although his vote for Fea has me a little worried. Voting for her simply for initiating the voting for Lottie? What reason is that? The bandwagon for Lottie (at least the voting anyway) did not start until well AFTER she had voted.....Hmmm....
Glirdan said that on Day 1 and then didn't mention Nogrod again. With lynching Glirdan, he didn't really seem to side with one way or the other. He did vote Glirdan, but by then the bandwagon looked comfortable enough to hide in. And then there's of course the fact that our seer voted him yesterDay, a throwaway rather than choosing the obvious lynch.

I would've posted Sally's comments on other people and then analysed it, but I ran out of time. I won't be able to do it tonight, but perhaps I can jump on that task toMorrow and get some better clues about other players, along with posts from toDay.

EDIT: X-ed with Inziladun
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