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Old 03-06-2010, 12:39 PM   #7
Nogrod
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pitch
you still needed me to heighten your suspicion?
Actually yes, I did.

The thing that raised my eyebrow first was her open declaration of supporting the wolves, in a joking manner of course. A joke or not, but you can see the end-result: most people think she is not a baddie because a baddie wouldn't do such a thing. Ergo: what should a wise wolf do? Just that.

Think of it from the perspective of a tight lynching with Nerwen and someone else facing the gallows, and how people would pick and choose their votes if they had no better ideas: "Gosh I can't say which one I suspect more but one of them is going to get lynched... what am I gonna do? Hey, Nerwen made that joke on D1! Surely a wolf wouldn't do that, would one? Oh, she must be the innocent one so I'll vote the other candidate."

Now someone of you say: "hey, but we're discussing her post now so it is not true it was a good move for a wolf!" But how much would it have been discussed if I hadn't incessantly kept it up?


But *back to the subject* yes, your analysis raised my suspicions to the next level - at least at first. The fact that Nerwen made that one post saying "Go wolves!" is quite a little in the end - and not a reason to campaign against a brilliant mind like hers on D1.

On Day1 mind you.

Anyway, when I came back to the computer and read your analysis of how the Boro-suspicion was born and how it developed it looked to me (on the basis of your analysis) that Nerwen was being the proponent who nicely drove the discussion towards Boro and that could be said to look wolvish as well: taking points from others and carrying them forwards to keep up the discussion and suspicions on safe-people (so not one of your own).

So your analysis really made me think about Nerwen's guilt with added strength. There were now two things I suspected her on. And there's a difference there. You have a thought "this might be suspicious indeed". Good but quite thin. You have another thing that fits well with your first suspicion... it starts to be much more believable.

Then I looked back at the first posts just to be on the safe side with my suspicions of Nerwen and found out that the feeling I got from there was quite different from what I got from your analysis. Thus it made me suspect Nerwen less and, not miraculously, to suspect you more for willing to make Nerwen look bad.


On the Glirdan's bandwagon issue: I think Glirdy meant the continuous talk about Boro. At least that is how I read it. Also I'm not sure if I would call it a strong reaction. It might as well be just falling short of any better reason.

Votewise Glirdy's vote is crucial though as he puts Lottie in the lead over Wilwa. So I'm not saying I think him innocent. I think none of you as innocents right now. But I'd say the thing that makes Glirdy suspicious is not his "strong reaction".
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