[wilwarin538]

Alright, so here are some of Mnemo's more important posts, I left out some that were repetitive, I did this fairly quickly and I'm tired, but cause I won't be around too too much tomorrow I wanted to contribute at least a bit....


#20:

As far as the role discussion goes... that's basically everyone's attempts to get something productive done on a Day One scenario. Since we're not given too much new material to chew over, I can't think of any other productive pot-stirring methods. At the same time, what else is there really to say, except, "Don't Reveal"?

*sigh*

Not much to be done, really. I can never get a feel for anyone off Day One, and the "what if this suspect's a gifted?" paranoia is doubled because the gifteds, like the baddies, know each other--giving the teams one more similarity that my addled pate really can't afford.

Nothing really stands out to me here, seems like a fairly common thing to say.

#41:

The vote is the one powerful tool we as a group have; if we give that up all we are are meaningless numbers. Yeah, we might screw things up, but at least we did something.

Plus as Roa said lynch votes can be really helpful for analysis, plus all that the wolves would have to do is give us a completely flusterworthy no-trace kill and we'd be back in the same pickle.

And if we want to translate this into numbers... the wolves (and, to an extent, the Ranger) already have control of who dies toNight. We control (and yes, there are wolves in our number, but in this case they are just four among many) who dies toDay.

#97:

Am I the only one who's convinced that the current tiffs are just opinionated ordos going insane, and the real wolves are sitting back and practically rubbing their hands with glee?

Although Roa's CobNog theory is interesting... Still, I think that Nogrod as a good cobbler would try to hold out until after Day One to start wreaking havoc. I'd just like to lay off both of them for a while and look at other possibilities...

I am glad, however, that we no longer have the problem we had thirteen hours ago or so! At the very least Boro and Roa should be commended for their apt bit of pot-stirring.

Since we've been discussing wolf strategies so much (reasonability etc.), could we please try to look at things from other angles? What I'm thinking of is more of along the lines of IC versus OOC. With a good deal of us (that's where the strategy falls short--our beloved n00bs!) there's a huge paper trail for how they normally play as innocent villagers. I think that that's a much better indicator of wolf-hood than whether a person sounds reasonable or not.

Mentions Nog and Boro here, not really anything overly huge though.

#108: a bit of a list, says she definitely won't vote for Nog, Roa or Boro...didn't like that Lottie and Nienna "restated the rules"...tempted to vote Morsul for confusion and Mac vote...good with Mac and Eomer...Pitch and Inzil feel "off"...wants to hear more from Brinn....wants more from Lommy and Shasta and myself...

So the fact that she was so sure about Nog, Roa and Boro makes me think that either Boro or Nog might be a wolf, mentions alot of others pretty lightly.

#128: wolf vibes from Pitch and Inzil

#130: coin flips them, goes with Inzil

#192:

Which is why I've decided that I'm not going to vote to try to save people anymore, much less vote "politically." And I encourage others to follow suit. Granted, we all had little information to go off of yesterday, and we have little more information to go off of today. But when everyone's doing this sort of thing it creates divisions within the crew, divisions that wolves will be all too happy to exploit.

#222:

Shasta: because suddenly guilt becomes relative.

Still don't really know what she meant by this.

#225:

But it's always easy to vote for someone who you think voted weird. I didn't vote for you because 1). you were pretty yourself, as far as I could tell (which my vibes yesterday were saying were off for Inzil and Pitch... analysis of both hopefully coming up in an hour or two), and 2). to me it felt like doing so would be a copout. I don't like making "easy" votes in Werewolf, unless the Seer has come out and told me who a wolf is.

#237: Summary about Inzil,

Several of the posts he made, especially early on, seemed to be for sheer zeal of the game... that first summary, continuing on with Boro... even correcting Roa! That's the kind of exuberance I expect from two kinds of people: 1). wolves, and 2). me. The fact that he was in the most previous game pushes him more into the "wolf" camp, as I know that much of my own exuberance comes from the fact that I take long breaks in between games.

In short, I've been suspecting him because if he's not a wolf, then he's acting too much like me for my own liking. I don't trust people who act like me.

# 243:

Even when I analyze people, it tends to be what this says about me and not what it says about the player, because I actually know myself and how I think!

Go ahead and suspect me because of my vote yesterDay. I completely deserve that, because I should have taken a few deep breaths and thought things over some more. But finding me suspicious because of who I am as a reader of the gamethread and as a player makes me just a tad bit sad.

#263: Pitch Analasis, "silly jumpiness", and "short discrete chunks" also found Lottie's vote weird

#267: votes Pitch and says that it's a "concrete rational reason"

#270: linking this one, cause it's so long and interesting here

random banter with Sally for quite a while


and then that's about it, not really as useful as I had hoped.
So really she doesn't mention too many people all that much. The one thing I got from all this is that I think Pitch might be innocent, she mostly concentrated on Inzil and Pitch and Inzil was innocent, and she voted for Pitch at a time that he very well could have been lynched, so I think he's probably fine. Her exchange with Sally is a bit weird, not really enough to suspect Sally, but I'll be keeping an eye on her. She seemed to be very positive of Nog's innocence, saying so more then once and insisting that the RoaNog exchange was innocent on innocent. So that's a bit interesting, the fact that Roa ended up innocent, perhaps Nog wasn't and she was trying to make it look like it really was innocent on innocent debate. I don't however find Nog all that suspicious, but still, I'm gonna keep that in mind.


Wow I was really hoping to get more out of all that, but I'm really exhausted and have to work late tomorrow. So I'll be back in the morning for a little bit, my vote will be early I'm afraid. Maybe someone will see something in Mnemo's posts that I didn't.

edit: x'ed with Lottie and Mac