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Old 10-17-2009, 05:25 PM   #329
Nogrod
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Looking at the votes of those we'd need to choose toDay then…


Inziladun
D1
Votes Spm as first after the revealment. Neutral flag or even a positive one as a wolf might have wished to see whether the claim was believed in the first instance and restrained his vote for a moment (even if he had ended up with the same vote).
D2
Puts Nienna in front of me by one vote when it looked like it was a run between us two (innocents), had suspected her already.

So?: neutral on a bit more innocentish than guilty looking. Goes well with my thoughts of him after looking more closely at his posts today.

Loslote
D1 Voted early for Pitchie, for no real reasons (but it was early to be frank).
D2 Voted me an hour before the deadline with “a rushed vote” – as noted by some others totally misreading my post.

So?: Hard to say. Both votes are a bit unqualified ones if I may say so... But is it just inexperience and hurry or something more sinister? Hard to say indeed. Other factors but voting should be considered with her.

Roa
D1 Voted Spm before Pitchie’s reveal… kudos for her!
D2 Voted me twelve minutes before the DL putting me level with Nienna. What troubled me with that vote was that it came a bit out of the clear blue sky… she had made an analysis of me much earlier and said I was somewhat suspicious, but after that she had been silent about it. It still bugs me a bit to be honest… too good a timing.

So?: The D1 vote sure looks good - unless it was risky wolvery that was backed by a shot of incredible luck of getting into the book of innocents (or bad luck as Spm got lynched in the end). I didn't understandably like her vote on D2. So vote-wise I'd say good with reservations that need to be backed up from somewhere else than just voting (I'll try to look at her tomorrow eg. later in the Day).

Craydon1
D1 Votes Inzil with no reason given (apologizes for it on Day2 though).
D2 Makes a decent case why he votes for Morsul the agent even if those reasons have not been appreciated by the majority of the village. Says also interestingly: “I'm thinking that if I wanted people to not find out that I'm a wolf I would make myself clearly look like something else.” Whatever that means…

So?: No idea. If a submarine wolf then a most dangerous one as none would like to lynch a newbie-guy getting ready to go to war... Still I wouldn't suggest lynching him among the first ones we've have to choose.

Nerwen
D1 Goes with the bandwagon for Spm…saying “Well, then, it's now easy”.
D2 Takes an eyebrow-raising third-way giving Morsul the second vote five minutes before the DL. Claims she doesn’t wish to take sides in the choice between me and Nienna.

So?: D1 vote doesn't tell anything. Morsul had one vote already on D2 and she had suggested that choice earlier, so it looks a bit more innocentish. Unlike Brinn and Legate she could have entertained a real possibility of getting someone else than me or Nienna lynched - if that was her thought at the time; not wishing to see either of us lynched? But then again, if she knew we both were innocents wouldn't that be what a tricky wolf would do?

Legate
D1 Votes Spm as second after the revealment.
D2 Gives Inzil a second vote one minute before the DL for “indefinite door-for-suspicion-open-talk”.

So?: With the Spm-vote the same thing applies as with Inzil above. But his vote for Inzil on D2 looks quite suspicious indeed. Like washing his hands from lynching an innocent (like knowing there were two innocents at the gallows) and thus opening up a totally new voting one minute before the DL eg. knowing it would not succeed? The shared most suspicious one based on voting only.

Lariren Shadow
D1 Gives Spm his second last vote.
D2 Gives Nienna her second vote half an hour before the DL. Thinks her illogical + the first Day over-defensiveness.

So?: One more of these "hard to says". Waiting so long to vote for Spm might point to wolvery (wishing to see any miracles) but also to time-issues. D2 vote is just neutral.

Brinn
D1 Gives the last vote to Spm.
D2 Her vote for Inzil at one minute before the DL – opening a totally new path – while claiming she wouldn’t like to take part in a choice between me and Nienna looks pretty bad to me indeed. Not want to “take part”?

So?: What I said of Lari concerning D1, but her vote for Inzil looks pretty suspicious indeed. Like washing her hands from lynching an innocent (like knowing there were two innocents at the gallows) and thus opening up a totally new voting one minute before the DL eg. knowing it would not succeed? The shared most suspicious one based on voting only.



Counting only voting Brinn and Legate look the worse to me - mainly based on their votes on Day2. But they can't both be wolves which kind of dulls the edge...

It's easy to see why someone would look suspicious, but which are the right reasons to catch the actual baddie? Sorry Legate I seem to have forgotten the suggestion you made on the "known innocent syndrome"...

Anyway. I'm off to bed pretty soon as it's a bit too late anyway. But I'll be back at the latter part of the Day trying to make some more precise looks around.
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