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Kath · 05-30-2009, 05:27 AM

So we potentially have two known innocents. Eomer and Lari.

Which leaves:
Nerwen
McCaber
Gaurcrist
Inzil
phantom

One is the Hunter (good guy), one is potentially Little Red Cap (bad guy if turned, otherwise good), the Big Bad Wolf (bad guy), the Old Witch (bad guy) and the Robber Bridegroom (bad guy but tallies as good).

Hmm, we have 8 people in this village at the moment. Only three known baddies (I'm discounting Red Cap). We have two reveals. Makes it 6-3. If the Hunter revealed it would be 5-3 but obviously that negates their power a bit. I don't know. It just feels like we ought to be able to push this on numbers but my maths isn't strong enough to work it out. I think what I mean is that if the Hunter revealed then (ignoring me) there are 4 people to vote between, with a chance of 3/4 that we'd get a bad guy (either one of the two wolves or the robber bridegroom).

Is this making any sense?

By the way I'm sorry I didn't appear before. I've been trying to think this through for ages and just couldn't make it all come together in my head. Also I will be leaving in half an hour and won't be back before deadline.

05-30-2009, 05:27 AM	#812
Kath Everlasting Whiteness Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: Perusing the laminated book of dreams Posts: 4,533	So we potentially have two known innocents. Eomer and Lari. Which leaves: Nerwen McCaber Gaurcrist Inzil phantom One is the Hunter (good guy), one is potentially Little Red Cap (bad guy if turned, otherwise good), the Big Bad Wolf (bad guy), the Old Witch (bad guy) and the Robber Bridegroom (bad guy but tallies as good). Hmm, we have 8 people in this village at the moment. Only three known baddies (I'm discounting Red Cap). We have two reveals. Makes it 6-3. If the Hunter revealed it would be 5-3 but obviously that negates their power a bit. I don't know. It just feels like we ought to be able to push this on numbers but my maths isn't strong enough to work it out. I think what I mean is that if the Hunter revealed then (ignoring me) there are 4 people to vote between, with a chance of 3/4 that we'd get a bad guy (either one of the two wolves or the robber bridegroom). Is this making any sense? By the way I'm sorry I didn't appear before. I've been trying to think this through for ages and just couldn't make it all come together in my head. Also I will be leaving in half an hour and won't be back before deadline. __________________ “If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.”