Quote:
Originally Posted by Brinniel
If Sally is lying, how is Lhuna still definitely a wolf?
|
Case 1:
Sally is truthful. I believe
Nogrod to be the Seer - this case is improbable. However, should this be the true case, then obviously
Lhuna was dreamt by
Sally-seer as a Wraith.
Case 2:
Sally is an Ordo, lying to protect
Nogrod-seer. In this case, you are right;
Sally could not know for sure that
Lhuna is a wolf. However, there is no reason for
Sally to make such a claim without some sort of knowledge. In this case,
Lhuna is still much more likely to be a wolf than an innocent simply because it would be A: suicidal and B: insanely stupid for
Sally to claim such for no reason (and she's not insanely stupid, nor is she suicidal as far as I know).
Case 3:
Sally is a Wraith, lying to protect another Wraith or attempting to undermine
Nogrod-seer. In this case, calling out
Lhuna as a Wraith is, in the most probable case, a way to both make
Sally look innocent and back up her claim as
Seer and sacrifice an already-suspected comrade. Also to be noted is that, should
Lhuna actually turn out innocent once lynched, we would immediately proceed to lynch
Sally the day after and, as I have already said,
Sally's not suicidal.