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Originally Posted by Brin
By toMorrow I think it would've become rather clear who the cobbler considering their vote and anyway, I really can't imagine the other two not voting Izzy...
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We can never know, but I planned on doing the most intense bluff-offensive of my life, trying to plant at least the slightest seed of doubt in
Mnem and
Wilwa's minds that
Izzy had a chance of being the Cobbler.
I was planning on claiming to be the Ranger right off the bat in order to encourage them to rule me out as the Cobbler.
Izzy would then likely vote for me (or at least I figured in my plans that she would), and when no one followed her vote I would point out that for both a hidden WW and Cobbler it would be in their interest to remain uncommited and hope that I, the Ranger, would lead the vote wrong, and thus clinch the win.
If this precise series of events unfolded as planned, reasonable doubt would certainly be introduced to even the most convinced living souls, and that doubt would've become my tool for prodding and poking and trying to get either
Mnem or
Wilwa to go for each other. I would have used every tool of manipulation and cloaking and lying and such that I have up my sleeve, and put on an act worthy of an Oscar. Likely I would've leaned towards
Izzy for most of the day, but quietly fanned the flames of any spark of doubt I saw from
Mnem or
Wilwa, until a point arrived where I thought things were hot enough to declare that I was having serious second thoughts and needed to hear from everyone and do some rereading, etc etc.... You've seen me do that sort of thing before (as both goodie and baddie).
I do not claim to know whether or not it would've worked. No one can know. Even someone 90% likely to go for
Izzy could've hit a perfect storm of RL events and attitude shifts and reading in the thread which could push them the wrong way. Or
Mnem or
Wilwa might've decided during the night that they might not want to lynch
Izzy after all, and then become suspicious of me during the day and I would actually change their minds to vote correctly.
It is one of the mysteries that will be debated for ages and ages by the wise around the world.
Or at least it will be debated for a few seconds inside our heads. Same difference really.