Thank you,
Mac and
Nerwen - I wish I was a wraith and able to receive your entire compliments! As it is I'll just be happy to remain so seemingly innocent.
And great analysis,
Menel. That's some good stuff, looking back on day 1. Here's the complete "chronology"
Greenie -> Gollum
Lommy -> Aganzir
Gollum -> Brinn
Aganzir -> Lari
Legate -> Mac
Shasta -> Lommy
Nog -> Gollum
Menel -> Mac
Rune -> Brinn
Fea -> Brinn
Mirandir -> Lommy
Beregond -> Mac
Durelin -> Lommy
Sally -> Mac
Lari -> Durelin
Rikae -> Lommy
Nerwen -> Gollum
Mac -> Gollum
Brinn -> Gollum
Rikae --Lommy -> Gollum
It makes
Rune look pretty innocent (unless as cobbler).
Mac can be accused simply of saving himself.
Miri isn't excused for not voting
Gollum - it was her first day and first vote.
Menel, your vote can't be read either way since at that point no wraith was in danger.
Agan is unreadable.
Lari too.
Nerwen...yes, this doesn't look great for her. In a day with few people and no clear suspects it may be enough evidence to go on.
To rehash, from looking at day 1...
INNOCENT:
Rune
Berry 
NO READ:
Miri
Mac
Menel
Agan
Lari
SUSPICIOUS:
Nerwen
We have to keep in mind that Frodo wasn't yet stabbed, and Ferny likely as in the dark as anyone. So my conclusion is that
Nerwen is most likely to be a wraith.
Miri,
Mac, and
Rune are frontrunners for the positions of henchman and turncloak. None of the others are completely off my list by any means, even
Agan.
For the record I tend to believe
Lari's claim. Either way she shouldn't be voted off the island.