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Old 01-10-2009, 05:55 PM   #446
Macalaure
Fading Fëanorion
 
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
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Macalaure is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Macalaure is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Macalaure is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aganzir
Because I realised it only after I saw your post. Earlier I had just thought, 'ok, he suspects us both,' but I had paid no attention to the fact that he seemed to suspect us equally until you said it aloud.
I'm not buying that, I'm afraid. It would have been a sloppy analysis if it paid no attention to this fact, but the rest of your analysis was not sloppy at all, so I suspect intent.

On Aganzir suspecting Fea before: It could be (and is likely, I'd say) that Fea is the cobbler and Aganzir a critic, so that does not prove the innocence of either. Not to mention the critic-on-critic possibility.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Boro
Not to be arrogant Mac, but I know how to use seer lingo, it is never the seer's intent to leave confusing statements. Now that happens, but seers don't purposefully set out to confuse.

Did I say tgwbs was jumping out everywhere shouting wolf! wolf! wolf! No, but if he did he would lead clues to the wolf, not make statements that he doesn't know who any are.
A seer is, of course, in the dilemma to leave his knowledge behind should he die, but if he does it too obviously, he'll die quicker than he desires. While seers don't wish to confuse (though tp suggested earlier that it is at least possible that tgwbs did), they need to obscure their knowledge to the point that it is only decipherable to anybody once his role is known.

Anyway, I was just irritated by your first analysis which suggested that Fea is not evil at all. There is evidence that Fea is the cobbler, there is evidence that Fea is a critic. Only her death will show.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fea
Of course there's no astonishment, sweetheart. Even if I felt it, do you really think I'd type it? Who would believe me if I showed up the day after the seer had been killed, the very seer who'd been regularly trying to get me lynched, and said sweetly, batting my eyelashes, "Oh my, oh dear dear dear, who could have done such a thing?" Nobody would believe me, they'd assume I was a lying devious little thing.
Given the evidence against you, a genuine statement of innocence and surprise would probably have been the only thing that could have saved you. Now only a miracle could.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Brinn
I certainly wouldn't be willing to bet a double lynch on it...especially since we can't even be 100% sure about Fea's guilt.
How could the seer have made it clearer that he wanted Fea lynched? (We should all go to England and beat some sense into him if he only made is believe he dreamt of Fea. ) The question is, do we just lynch Fea, or do we take the chance and get more than just one baddie?

Of course, scheduling a double lynching will be tough, since we have two people willing to derail it in the last minute.
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