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Old 09-16-2008, 05:11 AM   #331
Macalaure
Fading Fëanorion
 
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
Macalaure is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Macalaure is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Macalaure is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.
A second look at Boromir:

Day1: Buddies up to Rikae and has an exchange with Fea that could be something but likely is not. Criticises my points against Brinn, which is fair, but concludes that I'm a wolf, which is a leap. Makes points on everybody but me (who he makes an extra category for) and starts his chase of Lalwende. Dissuades people to vote for CoD just after I did. "Well I was hoping to stay around longer...but I wouldn't be the biggest loss."

The last comment (shouting "I'm an ordo, I'm an ordo!" just before the deadline could be the reaction of a seer who suddenly noticed he was a bit too open, or a reverse-psychology hint to the ranger for the same reason), together with his sureness about my guilt make me think he's the cobbler who, at the time, was preparing for a fake seer reveal later. With Brinn's vote for me, he had a chance to get me lynched, but didn't, preferring to throw his vote away. Of course, he could also be an ordo setting up a trap for a possible me-wolf (if he had been killed that night, it would have pointed very strongly towards wolf-me thinking he was the seer).

Day2: His theory about Brinn... you can explain it as often as you like, to me, it still carries the smell of getting her to make herself look bad with a defense and then sitting back and enjoying the show. Makes a case against Sally which is more or less sensible. He decides that Mith isn't a wolf. He's suspicious of Nogrod and picks apart his case of Brinniel. Just before he has to vote he remembers Lal and votes her.

He discards his suspicion of me entirely, which is surprising. After he was so suspicious before, I would have expected a bit more hesitation. This is in line with the cobbler-seer theory, which a cobbler would have commentlessly discarded at this point.
His reasons for voting Lal twice in a row are paper-thin.

Day3: He gives points against Lal and later starts putting actual pressure on her. Doesn't like Nerwen's vote. Makes a point about Brinn's list. Responds to Nerwen about his Day1-vote and I'm not sure I buy that. Goes after Izzy a little.

How is this for a wolf-strategy: Pick a villager (Lal) who isn't listened to much but who is also unlikely to get lynched quickly, and then consistently go after her. Your cases will look sensible and consistent but it will take a long while until the victim's death makes you look bad and forces you to make wrong cases against somebody new. A cobbler could do the same if he's sure that his victim is not a wolf.


Conclusion: His insistence to go after Lal doesn't seem right with me. He did a few things that point towards cobblerdom, maybe wolfdom, too, but not necessarily. Unfortunately, apart from his voting, which is odd, I could see an innocent Boro do the same things. He's still up there in my list, but I can't make my mind up entirely.


I think I'll look at Sally next.
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