But I rather stay up late and post, and just vote in the morning.
I didn't expect
Kath to die. A kill that leaves practically no tracks it is, at least... Anyway, did the ranger protect her on night 2? It sounds likely but I don't think we can be completely sure of it. The person the ranger protected might have become a wolf (though in my opinion it would have been unfair to turn a known innocent), or the wolves might have wanted to make the ranger feel insecure about that person's innocence.
I feel pretty positive about
Nilp's guilt. Yesterday I said he and
Nerwen looked like fellow wolves, and I still think so, the more as
Nerwen was revealed to be a wolf. Also, I wonder if I should start watching
Eönwë a bit more closely now, since last night I had a dream he and
Nilp were the wolves.
Anyway. I read through the thread during the night and made some notes (and if
Nog even starts saying that I must be a wolf because an innocent wouldn't spend time on it when she can't be certain of her own survival, I'll get angry
).
Kitanna is bugging me. Her first post is too random to sound innocent. I don't follow her logic - what on earth is suspicious in being eg. the second to vote someone or the one whose vote causes a tie? But then in other posts she just looks so innocent that I have no idea what to think of her, and she voted for
Nerwen on day 1 when there was a chance that she might have been lynched, given the amount of suspicion she had gained even then. I'm totally at loss.
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by me
I think Nogrod has a good point about people backing off from suspecting Nerwen.
|
When I wrote this, I thought those (well not all of them, but it was a possibility) suspecting and later backing off from
Nerwen might be wolves testing the ice (this was thought assuming that
Nerwen was innocent), or fellow wolves who had agreed to suspect each other a little. So IC reasons or not, I'm wary of those. Especially
Nilp, but that wasn't a surprise.
Nilp found everyone who voted for
Mith on day 1 suspicious. He also thought
Rikae's vote for
Nerwen (with good reasons, in my opinion) was eyebrow-raising. I don't know if
Nilp would be so obvious as to suspect everyone who suspected his fellow wolves, and it doesn't make me any more certain about
Mith's guilt. However, his opinion of
Rikae's vote makes me more certain of his own guilt.
The most suspicious thing about
Form is that he keeps insisting at least one wolf voted for
Sixth and bases his case on that.
Just the same way I could say that statistically it is likely that at least one wolf is among the four first persons on the player list (excluding myself), and analyse
Nilp,
Kitanna,
Shasta and
Boro, being confident that one of them is a wolf.
Somehow I feel uncomfortable with how
Eomer seemed to be trying to assure
EW was suspicious, not a wolf but maybe the cobbler, yesterday. It was pretty clear
EW would be the easy lynch, and it looks like
Eomer was just trying to find a reason to justify a vote for him.
Or maybe it's just that I didn't find
EW particularly suspicious and didn't really understand why others did. Anyway, I don't like it anyway.
**
Innocent
Boro
Shasta
Nogrod
Rikae
Mith
Eönwë
Guilty
Nilp
Form
(Ooh see the
Agan/Nilp/Form brawl is coming! A pity that
Nerwen is dead already.)
Kitanna (I rather label her as guilty than innocent. Though I won't be voting for her yet.)
Neither
Eomer
Durelin
sally
Ka
**
Psst,
Brinn, you still have
Kath on the living list.
**
Off to sleep. Mr.
Felagund, I will vote for you in five hours unless you come up with something witty.
edit: xed with Shasta