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Old 06-07-2008, 01:04 PM   #802
Celuien
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Assigned to Mordor
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Oh my goodness.

This is certainly a very confusing turn of events... and none of it really makes sense to me at all. At this point in the game, the village is down by one gifted with Mac's death last night - we only have a hunter and seer. Against four wolves. So with those numbers, it doesn't make sense for the GW to reveal - it would make more sense to try and get another gifted in the roster. Especially since there's no dueling allowed until toMorrow. And again, why reveal to the EW when there's no way that the EW could have found out who the GW is without a reveal? So, no, this doesn't make sense to me at all.

At the same time, I can't think of any good motives to impersonate the GW either... there didn't seem to be any indication that the GW was going to be flushed out of hiding (unless I missed something in my rather cursory skimming of the last few pages). All it does is cause distraction and confusion - look at us all sitting here and debating what the reveal means!

Now, it would make sense for a wolf to try to cause this kind of distraction. I think that this might be the most logical explanation. The EW may have given instructions to cause confusion today - and I've seen some gifted impersonation in the past by tricksy werewolves, so this would fit the pattern.

I don't think there's any attempt to shield Cailin involved. Wolves are fairly expendable so long as the EW is around... And it makes no sense at all for the EW to protect a replaceable wolf with such a dramatic gesture, so I think that excludes a Rikae/Cailin wolf/EW combination. I also don't think they are both wolves because I still hold to the theory that the EW wouldn't necessarily tell the wolves each other's identities while the GW could potentially unscry one of them to become an ordo, and then end up with (at least part) of the pack given away.

So, after all that, I think that Rikae is probably bad to the bone because she's the one doing the distracting right now. Despite the timing of the reveal, I don't think it tells us anything one way or the other about Cailin for reasons given above. At this point, I'm very inclined to vote for Rikae. If she's telling the truth about being the GW, we can't lynch her anyway - and she'll still have tonight to give one last gifted - and we won't change the duel tomorrow if we confirm her identity. If she's lying, we've rid ourselves of another nasty wolf. But I'll lurk a little longer before casting my vote.
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Last edited by Celuien; 06-07-2008 at 01:07 PM. Reason: Crossed with everything starting with Roa at post #790
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