One think I find especially creepy about toDay is that, just when everybody should have a wide focus (and just when it's easy to do so, with only 8 players), people seem to have divided themselves into groups and narrowed their focus, each, to pretty much a single person.
Lommy and
Nogrod's behavior toDay I've already talked about... I get the feeling one or both of them are trying to absorb all
my attention in their "duel" as well, to the exclusion of all else.
Nerwen and
Menel's focus on
Volo (and indirect defense of
Durelin, while agreeing that she is suspicious) is another case.
Volo's latest post basically agrees with me. The cynic in me says "of course he agrees with you, you've been defending him." Previously, he seemed as fixated on
Nerwen as she was on him.
Okaaay - possible connections. If you think I'm wrong, please point it out and why. I don't want to come to any erroneous conclusions. For the sake of completeness, I will include myself. It is not possible I'm a wolf from my perspective, but from yours (four of you, anyway) it is.
I do not think
Mith is a wolf. If she is, she is going to get my vote on Day 1 from now on.
Nogrod:
Good chance of being a wolf with:
Menel
Could be a wolf with:
Nerwen
Durelin
Less likely to be a wolf with:
Lommy
Volo
Mith
Unlikely to be a wolf with:
Rikae
Nerwen:
Likely to be a wolf with:
Menel
Durelin
Could be a wolf with:
Lommy
Nogrod
Rikae (or am I likely? I've tended to agree with her. Sorry, can't be objective there - make your own call.)
Unlikely wolf with:
Volo
Mith
Menel:
Likely to be wolf with:
Nogrod
Nerwen
Durelin
Could be a wolf with:
Lommy
Unlikely a wolf with:
Volo
Rikae
Mith
Volo:
Likely to be a wolf with:
Rikae
Could be a wolf (more or less likely) with:
Nogrod
Lommy
Unlikely to be a wolf with:
Menel
Nerwen (especially)
Durelin (Judging by
Menel and
Nerwen's behavior)
Mith
Lommy:
Likely to be a wolf with:
Nobody in particular (that I've seen so far)
Could be wolf with:
Nogrod
Nerwen
Volo
Rikae
Menel (actually, slightly more so because of his Day 1 defense of her)
Durelin
Mith
Unlikely a wolf with:
Nobody
Durelin:
Likely to be a wolf with:
Nerwen
Menel
Could be a wolf with:
Nogrod
Lommy
Mith
Unlikely to be a wolf with:
Volo (indirectly)
Rikae
Rikae:
Likely to be a wolf with:
Volo
Could be a wolf with:
Lommy
Nerwen
Mith
Unlikely a wolf with:
Durelin
Menel
Nogrod
Mith:
Likely to be a wolf with:
Nobody in particular
Could be a wolf with:
Lommy
Rikae
Durelin
Unlikely to be a wolf with:
Nogrod
Nerwen
Volo
Menel
Okay, as far as I could see, Lommy could be a wolf with pretty much anyone, but doesn't look particularly like a wolf with anyone, makign her a risky choice for toDay's lynch.
Volo is more unlikely to be a wolf simply because he doesn't seem to have a possible wolf-pack aside from
Lommy or
Nogrod and I, and we are unlikely to be wolves together. It could be that his companions have decided to sacrifice him, but would they do so with victory so close? In that case,
Nerwen's attack on him looks innocentish because it began yesterday,
Menel's less so.
Nerwen and
Menel may be wolves or
Menel and
Volo, but I don't think
Nerwen and
Volo are both.
Menel looks to have the most possible wolf-connections to me, and therefore looks the most likely to be a wolf on this scale.
EDIT: X'd with everything since Lommy's post 472