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Old 01-24-2008, 09:38 AM   #328
Azaelia of Willowbottom
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Join Date: Nov 2001
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Silmaril

Unfortunately, I have to vote now. I haven't got the time to make a detailed analysis of all the players today, which is unfortunate because it might lead me to a better decision.

I'm going to make a leap of faith here. I believe Nogrod, and I don't want to lynch him just to prove his status.

As we stand right now, there are five wolves, I believe, to 9 innocents/gifteds combined. Those are pretty steep odds. If we lynch Noggie and he takes care of Lommy, we'd stand 4 wolves to 8 innocents at the end of the Day, and 4 wolves to 7 innocents going into toMorrow, assuming there is a kill. If we lynch a wolf toDay, we'll be 9 to 4 at the end of today, and possibly 9 to 3 toMorrow, if Noggie does his job. Much better odds.

Anyway. I'm going to vote for

++McCaber

Because out of all the players here, he's probably the one about whom my gut instinct is strongest. It's not a choice I want to make--I'd far rather wait and see how things play out, possibly hear more from him, etc. There's just something a little off about him.

I don't want to spread the vote out as far as it has been already...but I am not certain enough to lynch Valier, and I'd rather let Noggie make a decision he's sure of toNight.

Anyway, I really have to dash. I'm sorry I can't stick around longer and make a better-informed decision.
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