I must admit, I'm feeling a little panicky right now, mainly because I haven't heard from you for two Nights and I'm quite certain this will be my last Night alive. But I really do hope you show up before the deadline, as I really hate to make another decision alone. Here are some thoughts of mine:
It's really important we kill the ranger and avoid the hunter more than anything. Unfortunately, I don't know how we do that, unless it's by luck. Quite frankly, the hunter and ranger typically won't appear much different than an ordinary. A hunter can only guess like an ordinary who the baddies are; their role doesn't take action until they are dead. The only clue to who the hunter may be is perhaps someone who is trying to look way innocent and before Day 3, maybe seerish - a martyr. As for the ranger, they have no idea whether the person they're protecting is actually innocent...it's only a guess. The only time they know something is when the one they're protecting is attacked. But in this case, it's possible everyone will know from the narrations. I don't know how much I like the idea of a known innocent wandering around, even if it did mean a for sure kill for the next Night.
Lovers. The possibilities went from 34 to 19...but that's still a lot. Your idea that Legate and Nogrod are lovers is starting to look more likely, but I'm still not sure. I wrote some possibilities in the PM I tried to send yesterDay; I'll send it to you again, though obviously not all of it will be useful anymore. There are so many possible combinations of lovers, and after spending an hour on a theory I was wrong about last Night, I rather not waste my time overanalysing again, especially considering the late hour.
Quite honestly, I almost prefer if the lovers didn't die toNight. Partly because the risk one may be a hunter. Also because if in trouble, I still want to claim I'm a lover....it'd cause a lot of helpful confusion. If lovers do die (which of course would still be a good thing, as long as one isn't the hunter), and if I'm a dead girl anyway, I'll just claim I'm a ranger. They'll be less likely to believe me, and if they did, I'd be revealed not much later, but at least it would expose the ranger. And hopefully they cannot protect themself.
For our kill, here's some thoughts:
Nogrod- If he wasn't protected last Night, he'll definitely be protected toNight as a practically known innocent. I'm not willing to risk it.
Mith- I'm actually considering the possiblity she could be a lover. Yet, with her last minute vote and my last comment, she could possibly be seen as suspicious for being hypocritical, plus I think things might go badly for me if I kill her.
Legate- Boy, is he an endless debate. I still get the feeling he's not just an ordo, but I'm not sure what he is. If he's the hunter, it'll be a toss-up between hunting me or Nerwen. There's also a chance he could be protected as quite a few people saw him as innocent.
Nerwen- There's no way we can kill her. If she dies, I WILL be lynched toMorrow, no doubt about it.
Shasta- He's kept pretty much under the radar, along with you. I kind of doubt he has a special role, though I'm not positive. After Sally, the other enigma, got lynched and he didn't vote for me despite expressing suspicion, he could be seen as a possible balrog. I suppose if we wanted to play it safest, he'd be our kill. But I think it may be smarter to leave him alive; I partly fear that if he dies, more attention will be drawn to you, as you'll be the only quiet one left.
Kath- She's been gathering some suspicion for quite sometime now. And with her out-of-nowhere vote for Sally (which basically gave me a chance of survival), she could be a possible target for toMorrow. Best to leave her alone.
Gil- This may end up being very dangerous, but I think he should be our kill. A lot of people are already assuming he's innocent, and it's possible he has a special role. But then again, I'm starting to think he might be the hunter, and if so I'm dead. Urgh...now I'm starting to change my mind on this because I worry it may be a trap.
Looks like I just eliminated everyone.
So, I'm actually coming up with a new theory. How about this:
Gil is a lover with the hunter. Gil is seen as innocent, so he attacks me openly, while his lover acts a little more unsure. Since a lot of people are disregarding Gil, it might actually be a trap so that we kill him, we kill the hunter, and I die.
Of everyone else, I would find Nogrod most likely to be that other lover. My reasons:
Day 1
-Nogrod finds Gil's behaviour to be odd, and his vote fishy, but he comes to the conclusion that Gil is just confused
Day 2
-Gil's little outburst on how he's not confused, and he wants people to stop saying that.
-Gil calls Nogrod's behaviour irrational
-Nogrod thinks Gil is innocent
Day 3
-no mention
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I'm probably just reading into this way too much as I said I shouldn't. I don't mind dying toMorrow; in fact, I expect it. But I really would rather not be hunted down...I want another chance to cause chaos. I'd even rather hit someone who's protected...at least we no longer have to worry about a seer exposing us.
I'm considering new possibilites:
1. Legate. We've considered him every Night so far. Perhaps we should just go for it and get it over with. Hopefully he's not the hunter, and if he is, I think I still have a 50/50 chance.
2. Gil. It seems really really dangerous, but sometimes we have to take risks...
3. Mith. I wanted to use her as a target and fear her death might incriminate me somehow (though perhaps at this point, anyone's will). But I could work around it.
4. Shasta. Still a possibility, but I'd rather not. I think keeping him alive will keep you safe.