[the guy who be short]

During Night 4, Lhuna couldn't get to a computer, so everything you read is by me. I went a bit nuts and started analysing everything possible...

Sorry bout yesterday night - what a disaster, eh?! I couldn't get back online after the first pm I sent and hoped you'd have sent something to Leggy.

Thankfully, it's all worked quite in our favour. I think many people now expect amateur or absent wolves. I was also astounded by the support for lynching Noggy - each additional vote made me cackle insanely. Unfortunately, he was not a gifted as I had hoped, and so we have no lead to catch the next gifted... Well, not entirely true, we do have one...

We need to prioritize who to kill tonight, especially considering that this is the first night where we'll (hopefully) get a kill.

1) I think that it is now very important to kill a gifted. At worst, there are now two outlaws who know that three of the group are innocent, due to Rikae's saving on Night 2. However, it could be that Rikae is one of the gifted (it would make sense to protect themselves Day 1, I think) in which case it's not too bad.

2) I think our secondary goal should be to protect ourselves. I don't think I'm under much suspicion yet, miraculously, and thankfully Noggy absolved me of guilt! So we should look to protect you.

3) We need to foster confusion tomorrow. This shouldn't be too hard though; I think the entire village is quite lost at the moment.


Bearing all this in mind, we should NOT lynch Mith, as she is clearly not a gifted...

Yeah, right. Although by gifted, I meant Beleg or Turin at the time.

...If we're keeping her, I think we should also keep Brinn, if there is no strong evidence for her being gifted, because I think these two may go after one another tomorrow. We should also keep around Gil and Izzy as they are potential lynchees, due to the general suspicion of the quieter folk.

This leaves Rikae and Mac, right? We both think Mac seems gifted and he's generally under no suspicion (although Noggy did say to look at him tomorrow, so perhaps not). Rikae would be the safest choice, as her death will definitely cause damage to the gifteds; even if she is not one of them, they will lose a known innocent.

I'm in favour of killing Rikae or Mac, or possible Brinn if there is evidence of giftedness. The others I think should be left for the reasons above.

Now, we do have ONE clue in catching gifteds. Since Day 2, at least one person other than herself has known Rikae to be innocent. I'm going to go back and look at everybody's attitudes to Rikae and see what this brings up. If I have time, 'l'll create a table of what everybody thinks of everybody.

I fear you may come under suspicion tomorrow, my dear.

That is all for now. I shall contact you once the table is made.

I have made the table of everything relating to Rikae since Day 2 and will email it to you...

If I can find a way of getting this on the internet, I shall.

...The more I think about it, the more I think Rikae is Turin and Mac is Beleg.

Anybody who suspected Rikae after day 2 clearly is not a gifted; that's Izzy. I also don't think Mith is gifted because she hasn't mentioned Rikae at all; you'd expect a gifted to comment on somebody they knew to be innocent. These two are definitely out.

Gil has not mentioned Rikae, but he's been away. In any case, would Legate make him gifted knowing he'd be away? I doubt it.

This leaves Brinn and Mac. Mac has consistently found Rikae innocent, and she him. Brinn has also consistently found Rikae innocent, and Rikae found her innocent too, though mentioning her less.

It is, of course, possible, that Mac and Brinn are gifted together... I shall look into their relationship next.

Rikae has been most vocal in suspecting you, but also Izzy. This would promote the secondary aim of protecting you tomorrow. Although it may point to you, it could also be argued that it points to Izzy as well or that it is a set up. If you're not comfortable with removing Rikae, it will have to be Mac I think, which is a shame because I'm quite sure he finds you innocent at the moment.

I have to leave in a while. If I get no reply within an hour, to prevent the disaster of yesternight, I shall send leggy a provisional kill of Rikae, telling him that it could be overruled by any subsequent PM sent by you this night.

I have updated the table to include everybody except me, you and izzy.

So that night Rikae was my choice. She was really bad luck for us!

As you can see, I did mention the possibility of Brinn-Mac. I'm glad to see I wasn't too far off.