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Old 03-10-2007, 05:47 PM   #237
the guy who be short
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Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Thulcandra
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Night 2

This is all you're getting from me for a while. I need sleep.

This Night was less interesting, obviously, because we had to go after Rikae.

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Well, I think our kill is obvious - we go for Rikae again, and we know we have her.

And I'm very glad we were right on Roa. I'm sorry if voting for her along with two of you is a problem, but I must say it is what I would have done as an innocent.

Anyone look like a Gifted to anyone? Mith was acting very strange near the end there, but who knows. (durelin)
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But though Roa was in so bad situation, she played it rather well, did she?

tgwbs, if it would be possible, I'd go with you tomorrow against Brinniel, pretending I thought of it and she seems strange. If we could get Rune convinced to it (and perhaps someone else), it'd be good.

But to what concerns me the most now (since it touches mainly me, of course) - Rikae did the retract of Mith and voted for me, unknown reason which even I don't get (legate)
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I rather wish that she had toned down her attack on me (which rather put me in the spotlight) and her "love-fest" with Legate (which could cause him problems toMorrow). Still, flooding the thread with her analysis was a good move, since it made a fair few quite defensive and her situation did rather dominate the Day's debate to our advantage.

And I don't regard Roa's death as a setback at all. She is there to sacrifice herself for us.

It looks like, having shaken Roa off, Nogrod is now on my case. Since he is a proven innocent, that might be problematic for me. But he has yet to explain his case

I agree with Legate that there is scope for racking up suspicion against both Lommy and Brinniel toMorrow

No idea where Mithalwen's case against me came from. Again, it is unexplained. However, her efforts to save Roa might be used to beat her with a bit. (SpM)
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I too think Roa did an excellent job as Tar-Miriel. A whole day wasted! I can't believe any villagers actually considered believing her act.

I believe that if SpM manages to live through tomorrow, he'll be lucky. My defending SpM may bring suspicion upon me. I cannt now go back on it. But if it looks bad for him, and if he agrees, I think Legate and especially durelin should consider voting SpM.

My plans for tomorrow are thus:

Attack all those who voted for Roa or considered believing her. This is how I will bring pressure on Legate and durelin. However, I will emphasize the votes of those who are not Faithful (obviously).

I will also add this advantage we have: The villagers were as blind today, and will be as blind tomorrow, as they were on day 1. We didn't manage a kill last night and tonight we're killing Rikae, the obvious choice. This means people can't analyse who we kill and trace it back to us. Accusations remain somewhat wild (TGWBS)
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My plan is (time permitting) to try and get back into my more traditional analysis role. No one has really done a proper analysis of the votes yet, so I’ll be looking at that. I’ll also be considering what Roa’s analyses might tell the village and putting some pressure on those who shyed away from voting for her.

Not fully decided on my main targets. On the one hand, I am inclined to go for Rune and Kitanna – for casting doubt on Manwe and then withdrawing on Day 1 and generally for relatively content-free contributions.

The other possibility is a strong attack on Mithalwen, as there is definitely material there, particularly given her attempt to orchestrate Roa’s continued survival at my expense. (SpM)
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Other than that...I think Lommy is a good option, and I always go after Kath, so I might do that as well.

Well, can't think of much else to discuss, other than possible Gifteds. I agree Mith's behavior was strange. Might get her lynched

Oh, another thing about Lommy...if it's accurate to say that she seems "edgy," there might be a possibility of Giftedness. (durelin)
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About the Gifteds - Mith&Lommy seem strange

I was checking this. So, this far, who CANNOT be the pair (because they accuse each other):
Brinniel with Hookbill, Rune or Thin;
Kitanna with Mänwe or Thin;
Lalaith with Mith or Nogrod;
Mänwe with Kitanna, Nogrod or Rune;
Mithalwen with Lalaith;
Nogrod with Lalaith, Mith or Thin;
Rune with Mänwe;
Thin with Brinniel, Kitanna or Nogrod.

WHOM I FIND LIKELY:
Nogrod-Kath/Nogrod-Kitanna (legate)
Very much compressed from 11 pages.
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