Okay, I spent a couple of minutes reading
Nogrod's statements, and I'm more confused than I was a few minutes ago.
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Originally Posted by Nogrod, post 132
Well the numbers surely are shrinking with a bit too fast pace but happily there seems to be some good news as well with the Ranger making a great save. And now our Ranger too has a known innocent in her/his pocket and will probably live at least up to toMorrow. So with that save we kind of managed to get a borrowed Seer for one Night! Meaning: in Day3 we should have at least two living known innocents around and possibly the ranger might save it then again (50-50 chance of them being around on Day4 as well)... That would help our task considerably.
Kudos to her/him! And a bow.
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Nogrod, post 134
Sorry people... I was maybe getting a bit too optimistic back there...
It just occured to me that the wolves might have been so stupid as not to try and kill someone else safely the last Night but go straightforwards to Rikae (counting she's the Seer) and thence obviously be denied the kill in the first place.
Or is it a most Devillish plan where all this is staged to cover up for a false Seer? But it shouldn't work. It just couldn't. Too risky (even for Roa? ) so long as a right Seer still lives and killing her/him soon would be most reckless too - even with four faithfuls around.
So maybe we don't have two known innocents toMorrow. I was just too happy, too early...
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It's just weird... I mean, he's a sensible and rational guy, we all know that... And as to a kill that has been denied when there's a known seer, wouldn't it be logical to think that the ranger played it safe protected the seer and the wolves risked trying to kill her? I mean, thinking from the wolves' point of view, there's still four of them, three ordos are dead, the seer's revealed... They have a situation in which they can risk checking if the ranger was protecting
Rikae or not. And they decided to take this risk. That's how I see it. My question is why is
Nogrod making this so complicated? I know he can think in a bit complicated way at times, but... Also, calling the wolves stupid sounds like something a wolf could do. I don't understand this... Is
Nogrod a confused and far-fetched inocent, a cobbler or a bluffing wolf?
edit: xed with Hookbill