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Silence, and only one and a half hour left before voting.
I read through Lalwende and Holbytlass posts, but this did not radically change my opinion on either.
Reading over today's posts, some odd things said by Nogrod jump out.
1) He suspects Macalaure
2) He states losing an innocent Mac would be a bad thing, which I have heard him said repeatedly over the past few days.
3) He advocates a double lynch.
A double lynch is obviously not very much in our advantage today. Unless we are certain we get the wolf, it would be silly. And tonight's kill, should the wolf live another day, might be very telling. None of us have been silent today, or have not at least spoken their mind. A no trail-kill is impossible. Again, the wolf will want to avoid killing his or her cobblers. I think we will be able to make a far stronger case tomorrow. Of course, I also hope we get the wolf today and end this insecurity, but a double lynch is, as Lal says, far too risky.
Then, Nogrod, losing any innocent today - not just Macalaure - would be very bad, no matter the skills of the player involved. We need all the innocents we can get now. The lynch of a cobbler would not doom us, but the lynch of an innocent gives the wolf a near-certain victory.
What I was thinking is that Mac might be the cobbler for the other, remaining wolf… so not necessarily an innocent. I agree that he is definitely not Celuien's cobbler and it is unlikely he is the last remaining wolf. Not impossible, but improbable.
I am not so certain of Nogrod's innocence anymore as I was at the start of this dance.
But mainly, my sentiments have changed little since my last post - unless it is that I am more suspicious of you all. Also, considering the voting patterns, Lalwende seems the most likely cobbler for Celuien.
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