Back to analysis of LPM's posts:
#178 replies to SPM's suspicions and asks the reason for them. His summary:
Quote:
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SPM is just as dangerous in this game as any, whether innocent and a threat to the werewolves, or a werewolf and a threat to the village. The odds are 2 in 13 that he is innocent; but if he is not, he is a most dangerous enemy. Let us take care.
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#176 defines his reasons for suspecting Di: "Protested too Prodigeously for my liking... ... her unnecessary defense which struck me as likely as not as that of a first time werewolf whose nerves have gotten to her."
His first day first vote for Ang can be seen in the context of previous happenings and was revoked anyway to vote for Di.
Going on the basis of his votes, his secondary prime candidate was obviously
Di. Since he was astute enough to find out the one werewolf we've caught so far, he might be onto something there.
The other person on his werewolf list (#208) is
Roa.
I would not let either SPM nor Phantom off the hook of possible werewolves. Though I have not yet considered Phantom guilty, I am well aware of his abilities and trust him to be able to double/triple/quadruple bluff his way through any game.
Any earlier LPM posts are not relevant to the current situation, as I see it.
The following voted for Eomer:
Ang,
Mith,
phantom,
Di
Names on both lists:
Ang (only initially and admittedly because of an old grudge, so probably not a serious suspicion)
phantom - always to be taken seriously as a possible threat
Diamond - for the same reason I myself had - too vociferous in her protestation of innocence. Anyone can say it, but making a rule of it is going too far!
So far, that would keep
Di on top of my list of suspects. Right now, the others on that list are SPM and possibly phantom.
As to the others, several are relatively unknown to me, so I have no idea how to assess them. It's still early in the day, so maybe more evidence will show up.