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Old 11-09-2006, 11:03 AM   #32
Nogrod
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Okay. I think I can speak of it more openly. I have only hesitated as there is a possibility of making an error, but the more I have thought about this the smaller I see the chances of it.

So look at CoD's first post, the very first post of the game:
Quote:
I will surely have to wait and allow my superior intellect to grant me insight that the rest of you...commoners...could never obtain.
It's written nicely in the tone of a "Pompous Nobleman", but honestly, what does it look like if not a hint of CoD being the Seer?

Now why on earth would the real Seer do something like that? There is no reason imaginable for her/him to do that, at least as a first post of the whole game! There may be situations where the Seer feels her/himself under pressure to be the next lynchee or kill of the Night and giving hints might be a way of trying to call for help (do not lynch me / ranger help me). Although my lorebooks seem to indicate that that kind of hints are no good in the end and the Seer has only two viable options: openly revealing her/his role or just staying silent and wishing for the best.

So CoD is not the real Seer.

Would an innocent villager try tro make her/himself to look like a Seer? I do see a point for that kind of action. If the villager feels that the real Seer is in trouble, s/he might try to sacrifice her/himself for the common good and act as a bait for the wolves. But why to do something like that in the first post of the game?

So CoD is no ordinary villager either...

Would a wolf do something like that? If s/he hasn't thought through all that I have written up here, s/he might think it a good idea. Many enough of us might note the "hint" and stay quiet about it being afraid we would reveal / lynch our Seer - and what's most important, they would not vote her/him! The real Seer coming forwards later in the game would not be an issue because the impostor could always say that it was not meant to be a Seer-hint as it was somewhat vaguely formed and in-character...

So the only person I see having any reason at all to pose as a Seer is one of the lycanthrope kind.

That was what I tried to say - and do say.

EDIT: X'd with Boro...
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