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Old 10-03-2006, 02:27 AM   #152
Thinlómien
Shady She-Penguin
 
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
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Okay, rereading yesterday's voting did not make me any wiser.

However, here come my opinions on my fellow villagers:

THE Ka, Nogrod and Rune all have an innocent air to me.

THE Ka's reasonable arguments and her early attack against Volo make me feel more at ease with her. She's not jumpy or flip-floppy; she seems rather calm even when defending herself.

Of Nogrod I could say that he's contributing. (Surprise! Surprise!) He does not flip-flop and has good points. Overall, he seems innocent. Actually, his a bit hasty attack on Glirdy on Day1 and his "I suspect everyone" - attitude yesterDay speak for his innocence too. Usually he seems to be more aggressive as an innocent than as a wolf, so this comforts me too. (Or maybe I'm just too tired to suspect him this time too... )

Rune's reactions to things feel very genuine. I hope I'm not undersestimating (or insulting) Rune if I say that as a wolf he normally leaves trails and alarming signs and is thus normally caught pretty soon. There have been none this far.

I won't be voting any of these three today.

Then, we come to the less clear cases. No one rings an alarm, but no one assures me of their innocence. These people are Cel, Durelin, Boro and Eonwe.

Like so many of the others, I'm inclined to believe Durelin innocent. Nothing in her worries me in particular. She acts as I've seen an innocent Durelin act. (Though, of course she can be a wolf who's bluffing well.) Unless she does something remarkably suspicious today or I am forced to vote her to save some of those I feel more innocent I won't be voting her today either.

Eonwe is a dangerous questionmark. His randomness and quietness make him a scary opponent. I still guess he's innocent and he has not made any especially wolvish actions and my gut-feeling tells me so ( = he's innocent) too, but I do not dare to trust this Sir Donkey since I have so little to go on. Speak up, Eonwe, please!

I guess that leaves Celuien and Boromir to be the remaining wolves. I'm pretty confident at least another of them is a furry beast. I distrust Boromir more than Celuien.

One of my reasons to suspect Celuien is this:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Volo, the dead wolf
Celuien: Now here is a strange one. She hasn't said anything good today, or then I'm too blind to see. She might be a wolf but today we can't vote her out really can we?
When I read this, it screamed to me "fellow wolf, fellow wolf". The legendary wolf tactic; suspect, but not too strongly. I might be underestimating Volo's intelligence or ability to do tactics in ww (sorry if I'm doing so), but I think it'd be very easy for an inexperienced wolf to act this way. (More experinced players could maybe avoid this since they know how people usually expect wolves to treat their fellows.)

I must admit that my suspicion of Celuien and Boromir is based on general impressions and feelings of other people's innocence rather than pure reason and facts. I will thus try to manage to do an analysis of both of them in order to clear my mind and hopefully bring up something new points, either for or against their guilt.
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