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So 'luck' in Tolkien does not necessarily signify something other than doom or fate or providence.
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I can agree with that...I just think that within LOTR someone has the ability to change their 'luck' or their 'fate' through the choices (free will) that they make. As I think is what happened to Frodo, Frodo's actions towards Gollum won him Mercy from Eru. Though admittingly, as
Lal points out, it can be taken a few different ways.