Ok, mega-post coming up.
First off, all that flurry of activity last Day was a bit odd. Lots of last-minute, unreasoning voting. I do feel a bit hypocritical complaining about it as I was no better, and who knows, maybe we were all caught on the hop in RL.
But if anyone could do a Saucie-style vote tally for Day Two I’d be grateful – reading through all the posts so far and writing this post has taken up all my available time.
I actually don’t think that a Lhuna vote is that suspicious in itself as her own post that Day was very odd: if she really did think Rune was a wolf, why didn’t she vote for him? (Although I quite agreed with her about Jenny being innocent)
Another thing, I was thinking rather well of Saucie and Durelin, I was under the impression that both were stating their disbelief of Jenny as Hunter in an attempt to protect her. Now Saucie says that he really didn’t believe Jenny was the Hunter.
Anyway, on to my thoughts of everyone.
Durelin – At first she worried me, with her claims that her vote for Nilp was a throwaway, and the long time she spent making gnomic utterances “in character.” Since then, she has had a certain disingenuous insouciance which makes me think her innocent. I may be doing her too much of a favour here, but I still think she was trying to cover for Jenny, saying she wasn’t the Hunter.
Caranlondien -- now I know I said before that I was all for reasoning based on experience but Caran takes it a bit far. She voted for Jenny purely because she’s a fiendish wolf and trusts Saucie for no other reason than he’s been lynched unfairly in the past. Makes odd point in post 123, seems to think Eomer would only have been mistaken for Seer by inexperienced wolves, thinking he (Eomer) had found a wolf. Takes Diamond’s fairly jokey piratical self-defence literally. I don’t like all this face-value stuff, particularly from a smart player like Caran. Voted Firefoot on Day Two, at a nice safe, could-go-any-way time.
Holbytlass -- Did lots of analyses on Day two which seem to be in note-form so a bit hard for the rest of us to understand. Does however pickup on the bluffers which I think is a useful point. I’m not entirely happy with the way she picked on Jenny, but I can’t say I subscribe to the general suspicion about her.
Findëasëa: not just a rationalist, but an idealist.
“a wolf being sacrificed to benefit the team overall is probably something that wolves plan ahead of time, or only in a dire case” Hmmm… she clearly hasn't seen some of the dirty wolvish tricks I have had to witness in my time. However, I don’t particularly suspect Fin.
Kath -- One of the worst fates that can befall a werewolf player is to be considered innocent by the majority – it means the wolves will get you like as not. So maybe I should do Kath a favour by pointing out to those who have declared her innocent on the strength of her non-vote on Day One, that I remember a wolf-Kath laid low by hay fever doing much the same thing. However, having said that, I’m not particularly suspecting her.
Diamond18 – I’ve never met a wolfish Diamond, but this certainly seems an odd, (perhaps unusually RL-busy) Diamond. The Eomer vendetta could just as easily have been conducted by an innocent or a wolf, and while her Saucie vote was rather startling, one of her reasons, that everyone else was trusting him, is one I can sympathise with. The most suspicious thing about her was the way she complained about not much having happened out of character, without really doing anything to change it herself. I’m not hugely worried about her but I’ll be watching her.
Firefoot -- I was very worried about her at first, sinister comments like “because we’re never going to find out about him(Nilp) unless he’s lynched …” Then she claimed not to understand why Eomer was lynched, I would have thought more of Firefoot. However, I now feel much more comfortable with her (despite her suspicions of me!) she has been doing some really good analysis.
Gurthang --
Is puzzling me. On the one hand, I’m finding that his opinions of people are reasonably sound – usually a good sign of a fellow innocent. But on the other, his personal behaviour is rather disturbing. His remarks about Eomer, his biblical stuff, as pointed out by Saucie. Another to watch.
Rune Son of Bjarne – I haven’t played with Rune before so maybe I’m getting the wrong handle on him, but there are a couple of things that really worry me about Rune. Firstly, the bandwaggoning an innocent (Eomer). Also he spent a long time either in character or agreeing with or echoing other people’s comments rather than coming up with his own thoughts. He’s been a bit less suspicious today but I still find his behaviour worrying, and Guy is just such an easy target.
Mormegil – Been the first to vote on both Day One and Day Two. Morm, who in his last incarnation was a reasonable, helpful Wolf, is now back to his bloodthirsty self which I find strangely comforting. His fight with Ang over the corpse of Eomer seems to have abated somewhat, and he’s not yet voted today. I think he could be on to something. Your last post, Morm, could you elaborate?
Taliesin Hasn’t posted much. Voted Eomer because he said Jenny was defending him – this was an odd reason as Jenny was in fact mostly defending Nilp. Yesterday he sealed the fate of Lhuna. He’s worrying, although not my chief suspect.
Saucepan Man – I remember a time when a close relative of Sir Horatio was very disquieting to me because he was just making way too sense. That time, I had good reason to worry. Now he is making a fair bit of sense – but I can’t say I’m nodding in agreement with all his conclusions. To me, this feels more healthy and I am not too worried about him right now. However, the Jenny thing has slightly perturbed me (see above)
Anguirel: If we’re still talking grudges, my wounds from the beak of Emperor Ang are fresher than the claw-marks inflicted by the Wolf of the Rohirrim. The noble defence of Eomer could be a classic bad-Ang move. But on the other hand show-boating – ie the balladeering - tends to be the mark of an innocent Ang.
Glirdan -- I actually don’t find Glirdan or his day one vote as worrying as some of you do. He was spreading out the vote while diverting danger away from himself, which seems to me quite reasonable.
Friedrich Engels (the guy who be short) – very little to go on in himself, but I agree that the attempt to start a tgwbs bandwaggon today is interesting and should be watched closely.
So, at the moment my chief worries are Caran and Rune. But I want to hear more from Morm about Jenny's list.