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We are down two more valuable players, after both SPM and Spawn's deaths. Today we need to catch a wolf. I went back yesterday and started analyzing some of the actions of people who I am very unsure of at this point. As evidenced from the fact that the two greatest suspects yesterday have both been revealed as innocents, it seems likely that the wolves may be trying to hide in obscurity. The person I started with first was Lhuna. I did not find much mention of her, or any sort of analysis whatsoever so here is what I have:
Lhuna:
Day 1
#35
Nothing of interest- in character, random etc…
#36
Reiterates Nogrod’s comments on usefulness of the changeling. She voices a fear that the changeling can also bring about the victory for the wolves. She says that she hates it when someone has that much power.
#38
Votes for TGWBS, no real justification is given.
Day 1 Analysis:
On the first day Lhuna was extremely careful. All of her posts seem very safe. She talks about abstract concepts, such as the role of the changeling, without giving any solid opinions. She then votes for TGWBS without supplying any reasoning. This does not stick out as particularly wolfish. It was a day one, and she may have been pressed for time. It does seem like she was being careful not to do anything suspicious, but this alone is not enough to warrant suspicion.
Day 2
#142
Comments that the lynching of Boro on day one was odd, and cites an example of a similar situation that occurred with Gurthang. “Why can't we all learn that when people do this they're usually innocent? Just usually, mind.” She then goes on to say that she mostly agrees with SPM’s analysis of the people who voted Boromir. Although she is not suspicious of Spawn, she would fear her if she were a wolf. She does not think that the wolves would have contributed to an innocent’s death on the first day. She goes on to discuss Form’s death. She thinks that it was because he ‘left no trails yesterDay’ as well as it would cause confusion. She does not think that Caran is guilty, instead she fears one of her voters might be a wolf (LMP, SPM, or Cailin), but says that she does not think that it is a strong enough basis to suspect them.
#143
Lhuna says that she finds the behavior of Morm and LMP unusual. She lists a few things that she thinks might have contributed to their strangeness. Next, she notes that a case has been made against Durelin. She suggests that suspicion of Durelin should not be dismissed, as this reasoning might cause us to ignore bold wolves. Finally she is wary of Fea because of her randomness.
#145
She says that despite her unease about Fea, she thinks that her unwillingness to use retractable votes in her favor. Lhuna says that she will not retract votes, unless it proves necessary, and plans to keep an eye on those who do use the retractable votes a lot.
She then votes for Durelin, as she thinks she might be a bold wolf.
Day Two Analysis:
Today Lhuna’s playing style shifted. She gave a lot of opinions about specific individuals. She still seems very cautious to me. This is evident in statements like “Why can't we all learn that when people do this they're usually innocent? Just usually, mind.” Statements like this leave the option of the player to not give a definite opinion, so they can be more flexible later. The only person who she directly accused as wolf-like was Durelin. This is interesting, as other people have voiced this similar fears of Durelin as well (SPM in 73, Celuien 123, LMP 132). At this point, I am cautious of Lhuna, because she is playing the game very safely and the reasoning of her second vote seemed to just echo other player's opinions, but I see no real reason to suspect her. If anyone knows if this kind of behavior is consistant with how she usually acts, it would be useful.
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