Well,
Roa being the EW wasn't that surprising. A funny detail,
phantom voted for her on Day 1 saying that she's a Wizard... perhaps something that contributed to his early death.
As has been pointed out, Roa wanted to have
Loki,
Nogrod,
Naria,
Valier,
Alc and
Nilp for Wolves. I'm not sure whom of these were the original Wolves, but at least Nilp wasn't cursed until later, and my guess is that Valier was cursed on Night 3 because the sudden change in her behaviour. Therefore I looked into their posts from the previous Day to find out what made Roa pick them.
Valier said that her biggest suspects were Celuien, Caran,
Kitanna, Naria and Alcarillo. Two proven innocents there, two villagers who at some point became Wolves and one unknown. That Day (Day 2) there were 2 Wolves + Nogrod.
Valier didn't think that Nogrod was a baddie and thought that even though
Oddwen's vote was weird, it wasn't weird enough to lynch her. She thought that there were definitely two wolves voting for Nogrod on Day 2. She points out especially
Eomer and
Kitanna the others being
Diamond, Lommy, Roa,
morm,
Kath and Caran.
On Day 3
Nilp analysed how the EW will make her picks saying that due to the lists about possible Cursees the EW will pick someone totally opposite, and later she has the chance to pull a bluff and choose from the list.
Nilp questioned
Zali and voted for her. He said that there probably were one or more baddies in the Loki bandwagon. That would be
Diamond, Caran,
Fea, Nogrod,
Lalaith, Valier,
Kitanna or
Zali. There indeed was at least two Wolves, but whether they were Wolves already on Day 1, I don't know.
I think there are two options why Valier and Nilp were cursed. Either Roa thought that they would make great Wolves or then they got something right and Roa couldn't afford to keep them on the Good side. Perhaps it was both.
All of the Wolves thus far have been those who are easily suspected for a reason or another or who were bound to cause some controversy (Loki, for example, being a newcomer). All the Wolves have been also the type that don't desire to take the lead of village matters (compare to
morm's statement toDay: "I officially call the village back to order and we need to forward ourself with the business at hand."
).
Now there are three Wolves from yesterDay, plus one newly cursed. Anyone who has seemed innocent thus far might be a Wolf toDay. I wonder if the rest of the Wolves are those who fall into the same category as I mentioned above, or did Roa take someone completely different -
morm,
Fea or
Eomer, perhaps (even though it says in the narration that Caran guarded Eomer, I'm not sure if it means that he's a proven innocent).
Our silent villagers are a bit of a problem, too. Right now I'm suspicious of
Jenny and
Glirdan and
Diamond because I think they would fit with Roa's earlier picks. I'll take a look if I find any actual evidence for suspecting those three later when I have more time.