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Originally Posted by me
but it's possible the pick was extremely careful and strategic, in which case I want to watch for people doing certain things today, because there are certain things someone does if they make a kill for a certain reason.
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Well, in going over the posts, I'm not seeing much of the behavior I had my eyes open for, so I'm guessing
Sauce's murder has simple reasoning behind it.
A couple of reasons to kill
Sauce-
1) My willingness to trust him (not just mine, but the village in general). More than one person yesterday suggested that
Sauce would not make a good wolf (especially early), and that was very true. So why let someone live who is intelligent, innocent, and likely to be trusted?
2) With all the talk about
Sauce being a likely Seer dream, perhaps the Wolves (or EW) was hoping to render the Seer's Night 2 dream worthless. You see, if the Seer had dreamed of
Sauce on Night 2 and then the Wolves killed him, there might as well have been no dream at all. If that was the motivation behind the killing, I was probably a candidate as well. Unless, of course, the EW wants to make me a Wolf late- after the Seer has dreamed of me. Just in case that is his strategy, I would like to suggest to the Seer that you
wait to dream of me for a good while. You
don't want me to become a Wolf after I'm trusted! Now, naturally if I'm turned into a Wolf I will regret giving this advice because my loyalty will then be to the EW and his cause, but for now (and I hope, until death) my loyalty is to the village and the GW.
GW, if you
really want to find out about me early on (in case I'm the EW, which I hope you see as unlikely) and you also want to keep tabs on me until death (in case the EW tries to turn me), I suppose you could make me your Hunter. That way, if I'm cursed you'll know, plus the curse wouldn't create a Phantom-wolf, it would only create a Phantom-ungifted. But only do that if you have a Wolf target to give me. I don't want to be responsible for accidentally killing the Seer with my Hunter gift.
Also, only do that if you don't mind losing a gifted. I doubt the EW and Wolves plan on allowing me to live more than a couple days.
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Originally Posted by My mom
After yesterDay, I should think the EW would have chosen someone inconspicuous last Night. Numbers, not the composition of the team, are probably most important to him at the moment.
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I agree. Later on, if he survives that long, the EW will round out his pack by selecting some louder, lynchable sorts, but probably not right now.
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Originally Posted by Lal
perhaps the reason the changed wolf didn't come forward is that s/he didn't want to die. Because as a known innocent, s/he would have been a prime candidate for eating in the night.
And no, it's not me.
Which brings me to my Saucie theory, which I wanted to wait on a while. It's more unlikely than the cannon-fodder one so I will stress it's only a theory - but maybe he was the changed wolf. And that's why he was killed.
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That was one idea that I had. I agree that it's unlikely, but it's still a good thought.
All right. Here's a list of a few suspects. It's not random, but at the same time you shouldn't put much faith in it. The only way
any of us are going to get more than one or two things right at this point is by luck.
GW:
Roa or
Eomer
EW:
Nilp or
Firefoot
Wolves:
Diamond,
Kitanna,
Celuien, or
Glirdan
Seer: like I'd tell
Totally Innocent:
morm,
Gurthang,
Spawn
Oh, and one more thing. If some people continue to be super quiet (3 posts or less per day, and not saying much) I think we should just lynch them. They could be a hiding EW or Wolf. Worst case scenario, they are an unhelpful innocent who gives us nothing to base suspicions on. Those sorts should be slain.
Later on today, I'll provide some helpful information for the GW and future gifteds.